Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:11:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x8969…2cab
crypto · 227 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$888 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$429 · open +$346
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,801
Realized+$429
Unrealized+$346
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses69 / 155
Est. fees paid−$187
Open positions3
Markets (closed)224 / 227
History coverage60d
Avg bet$61
Trades / day7.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 3 History 224 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$617
7 days+$216
14 days−$481
30 days−$296
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 36¢ 50¢ $1,027 $1,437 +$409 (+40%)
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 20¢ 18¢ $393 $364 −$29 (-7%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Nuno Borges 48¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Stefanos Sakellaridis Stefanos Sakellaridis 29¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire PortlandFire 41¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 Over 52¢ 0¢ $441 $0 −$441 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe end in a draw? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Rublev (-2.5) vs Mensik (+2.5) Rublev 20¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$17 +197%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $41 +$84 +206%
Borges vs. Cilic: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $152 +$98 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$28 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$28 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$31 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$38 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$52 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$27 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$26 -94%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $31 +$50 +165%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $25 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -95%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $254 +$355 +139%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -96%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $36 −$35 -98%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $61 +$77 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $13 −$12 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $82 +$216 +263%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $59 +$92 +157%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $77 −$74 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $55 −$25 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $29 −$28 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $31 −$30 -95%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$19 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -95%
Modena: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 09 $121 −$119 -98%
Libema Open: Greet Minnen vs Janice Tjen Jun 09 $245 −$240 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 09 $59 −$55 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 09 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 09 $31 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 09 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 09 $31 +$42 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 09 $27 −$25 -94%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 09 $234 −$52 -22%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $234 +$290 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 09 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 09 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 06 $25 +$48 +191%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 06 $31 +$27 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 06 $23 −$22 -94%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Stefanos Sakellaridi Jun 06 $55 −$54 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 06 $11 −$10 -94%
Prostejov: Completed Match: Hynek Barton vs Alex Molcan Jun 06 $61 +$119 +194%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 69% +$360
crypto 25% −$225
other 6% +$640
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 1h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard SELL Daniil Medvedev 100¢ $125 1h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 32¢ $41 1h
Borges vs. Cilic: Match O/U 22.5 SELL Over 100¢ $250 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $3 1h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Nuno Borges 48¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $26 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $26 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $52 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $26 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $23 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 8h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $81 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-19.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 -21.4% -28.9% 32% 31% -4.0%
≤30d 134 -25.1% -32.2% 27% 25% -13.1%
≤90d 224 -10.7% -19.2% 31% 30% -6.3%
all 224 -10.7% -19.2% 31% 30% -6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.2% 30% -6.3%
10% -26.9% 30% -15.3%
15% -34.0% 30% -23.5%
20% -40.5% 30% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,801.23 · official $1,801.52 (match) · 586 history records