Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:56:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x896a…688d
crypto · 438 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$28,762 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27,847 · open −$915
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$27,847
Unrealized−$915
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses202 / 235
Whale WR (big bets)45%
Est. fees paid−$1,142
Open positions1
Markets (closed)437 / 438
History coverage140d
Avg bet$628
Trades / day18.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit69%
Chart Positions 1 History 437 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,094
7 days−$5,452
14 days−$11,682
30 days+$15,001
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $916 $1 −$915 (-100%)
Will SBV Excelsior vs. AZ end in a draw? Yes 97¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-06? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $194 $0 −$194 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 26¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A Vitality 15¢ 0¢ $225 $0 −$225 (-100%)
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Knicks Lakers 32¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17? No 27¢ 0¢ $3,111 $0 −$3,111 (-100%)
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-09? No 23¢ 0¢ $2,760 $0 −$2,760 (-100%)
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Raptors vs. Nuggets Raptors 38¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 7AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 9PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? No 41¢ 0¢ $7,380 $0 −$7,380 (-100%)
76ers vs. Hornets 76ers 30¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $2,220 $0 −$2,220 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 7? Yes 83¢ 0¢ $2,649 $0 −$2,649 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $670 +$330 +49%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $736 +$1,828 +248%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $230 +$770 +335%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1,267 −$1,260 -99%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $270 −$270 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $1,007 +$181 +18%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2,200 +$1,600 +73%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $672 +$527 +78%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $8,800 −$8,800 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 09 $959 −$378 -40%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $135 −$135 -100%
Will France win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $75 −$75 -100%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $114 −$114 -100%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $124 −$124 -100%
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $196 −$194 -99%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $170 +$830 +488%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Luxembourg win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $854 +$146 +17%
Will England win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $60 −$21 -35%
Will United States win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $240 −$240 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $1,380 −$901 -65%
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-04? Jun 06 $101 +$999 +987%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 03 $1,880 −$1,880 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) May 30 $2,130 −$2,130 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $2,220 −$2,220 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) May 27 $6,500 +$3,500 +54%
Knicks vs. Cavaliers May 26 $5,830 +$5,170 +89%
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $6,930 +$14,070 +203%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $5,288 −$5,288 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) May 22 $1,150 +$1,350 +117%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 20 $930 −$930 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) May 20 $957 +$1,022 +107%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? May 19 $8,190 +$12,809 +156%
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19? May 19 $152 −$137 -91%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 19 $250 −$250 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $3,113 −$3,111 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16? May 16 $150 −$150 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs May 16 $1,715 −$1,215 -71%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers May 16 $766 +$334 +44%
Spread: Pistons (-4.5) May 16 $2 +$3 +170%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons May 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B May 14 $435 −$435 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A May 13 $6,751 −$6,551 -97%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21? May 13 $3,750 −$3,750 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A May 12 $225 −$225 -100%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11? May 12 $7,580 +$8,548 +113%
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11? May 11 $175 −$175 -100%
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $480 −$480 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $7,380 −$7,380 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 51% −$7,526
sports 39% −$18,501
crypto 8% −$3,132
finance 2% +$505
world 0% −$108
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 100¢ $2,564 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 44¢ $34 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 44¢ $80 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 44¢ $24 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 44¢ $40 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 44¢ $55 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 44¢ $24 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 44¢ $433 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 44¢ $189 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 41¢ $14 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 41¢ $22 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 30¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 30¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 30¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 30¢ $19 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 30¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 30¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 30¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 30¢ $75 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 30¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 30¢ $51 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 30¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 30¢ $76 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 30¢ $30 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 30¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 30¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 30¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 30¢ $30 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 30¢ $6 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 30¢ $6 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-0.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +43.7% +30.0% 39% 39% -33.1%
≤30d 43 +18.2% +6.9% 40% 40% +11.1%
≤90d 186 -25.4% -32.5% 34% 27% -25.0%
all 437 +9.8% -0.7% 46% 33% -18.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.9 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.7% 33% -18.9%
10% ← realistic here -10.2% 30% -26.6%
15% -18.8% 27% -33.7%
20% -26.8% 24% -40.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.04 · official $1.04 (match) · 2961 history records