Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:42:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x8970…0942
crypto · 598 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$930 +17%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$930 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$930
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses297 / 301
Open positions0
Markets (closed)598 / 598
History coverage93d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day16.4
Drawdown24%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 598 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$11
14 days+$16
30 days+$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 33¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+203%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$20 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 07 $51 +$75 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 07 $8 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 07 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 02 $5 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 02 $5 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 02 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 02 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 02 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 02 $4 +$6 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 02 $8 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 02 $13 +$10 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 02 $26 +$18 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET May 31 $7 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET May 31 $5 +$6 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET May 31 $11 +$9 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET May 31 $36 +$70 +195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET May 31 $5 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET May 31 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET May 31 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET May 31 $12 −$8 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET May 31 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET May 30 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET May 30 $9 +$10 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET May 29 $24 −$14 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET May 29 $16 +$11 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET May 28 $3 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET May 28 $11 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET May 28 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET May 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET May 28 $23 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET May 27 $8 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET May 27 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET May 26 $10 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET May 26 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET May 26 $3 +$7 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET May 25 $14 −$7 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET May 25 $8 +$9 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET May 24 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET May 24 $17 +$22 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET May 24 $6 −$1 -21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$930
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $2 28h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 28h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $4 44h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $3 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $1 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-5.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +6.5% -3.6% 33% 33% -4.0%
≤30d 90 +10.9% +0.4% 42% 37% -6.4%
≤90d 346 +10.9% +0.3% 44% 41% +7.4%
all 598 +4.7% -5.3% 50% 48% +6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.3% 48% +6.3%
10% -14.3% 47% -3.9%
15% -22.6% 42% -13.2%
20% -30.2% 40% -21.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.45 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records