Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:44:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x8970…36b5
crypto · 237 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$35,445 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$29,772 · open +$90
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$28,584
Realized+$29,772
Unrealized+$90
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses102 / 66
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Open positions76
Markets (closed)168 / 237
History coverage7d
Avg bet$1,242
Trades / day423.8
Drawdown28%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 76 History 168 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8,575
7 days+$29,772
14 days+$29,772
30 days+$29,772
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? Yes 96¢ 99¢ $9,454 $9,765 +$311 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $1,912 $1,915 +$2 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $1,904 $1,908 +$5 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on June 15? No 100¢ 99¢ $1,309 $1,307 −$2 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 14? Yes 9¢ 64¢ $159 $1,129 +$970 (+610%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? Yes 9¢ 84¢ $121 $1,073 +$952 (+787%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14? No 99¢ 99¢ $886 $890 +$4 (+0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 13? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $802 $818 +$17 (+2%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 13? No 98¢ 99¢ $710 $723 +$13 (+2%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? No 94¢ 94¢ $721 $719 −$2 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 13? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $550 $555 +$5 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 14? Yes 9¢ 32¢ $159 $551 +$392 (+247%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 14? Yes 97¢ 100¢ $520 $533 +$13 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? No 99¢ 99¢ $527 $530 +$3 (+1%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $503 $503 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 14? Yes 98¢ 99¢ $497 $500 +$4 (+1%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,200 and $1,300 on June 13? No 99¢ 100¢ $382 $385 +$3 (+1%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $369 $369 −$1 (-0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,200 on June 13? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $358 $361 +$3 (+1%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 13? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $331 $330 −$1 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $318 $319 +$1 (+0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 13? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $298 $299 +$2 (+1%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $278 $278 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 14? No 91¢ 97¢ $233 $251 +$18 (+8%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 14? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $248 $248 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 12? Jun 13 $130 −$130 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 12? Jun 13 $130 −$130 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,100 on June 12? Jun 13 $130 −$130 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,200 and $1,300 on June 12? Jun 13 $130 −$130 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $130 −$130 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 12? Jun 13 $130 −$130 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $130 −$130 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $1,311 +$2,649 +202%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 12? Jun 12 $576 −$77 -13%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $351 −$25 -7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $6,108 +$54 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $1,944 +$215 +11%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? Jun 12 $661 −$1 -0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 12? Jun 12 $349 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,100 on June 12? Jun 12 $551 +$5 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $251 +$2 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $3,037 +$14 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $6,470 +$583 +9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $7,153 +$210 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,100 and $1,200 on June 12? Jun 12 $555 +$148 +27%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 12? Jun 12 $1,326 +$534 +40%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $509 −$45 -9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $153 +$58 +38%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $5,185 +$2,164 +42%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $737 −$168 -23%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $6,923 +$3,440 +50%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? Jun 12 $8 −$7 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $3,434 +$1,355 +40%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $5,123 +$79 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 9? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 9? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 7? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $1,836 −$11 -1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 12 $77 −$77 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 9? Jun 12 $81 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 10? Jun 12 $204 −$2 -1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 7? Jun 12 $57 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $1,687 −$29 -2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 7? Jun 12 $1,231 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 10? Jun 12 $470 −$1 -0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 7? Jun 12 $4,993 +$33 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 9? Jun 12 $100 $0 -0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 10? Jun 12 $61 −$58 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 10? Jun 12 $139 −$8 -6%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 11? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on June 11? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 11? Jun 12 $120 −$5 -4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7? Jun 12 $2,728 +$1,437 +53%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? Jun 12 $841 −$139 -17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$29,410
other 0% +$1,362
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 13? BUY Yes 96¢ $6 6m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $140 6m
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 6¢ $0 6m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 94¢ $133 6m
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 6¢ $8 6m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 94¢ $97 7m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $102 7m
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 5¢ $6 7m
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 5¢ $0 8m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 94¢ $38 8m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $40 8m
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 5¢ $2 8m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $99 8m
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on June 15? BUY No 100¢ $100 8m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 15? BUY No 99¢ $99 8m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 15? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 8m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 13? BUY Yes 99¢ $50 8m
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 7¢ $4 8m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 94¢ $47 8m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 94¢ $236 13m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 13m
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 13? BUY Yes 5¢ $12 13m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 14m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? BUY No 1¢ $1 14m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $99 14m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? BUY No 1¢ $1 15m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $100 15m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $99 15m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 95¢ $36 34m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 13? BUY Yes 100¢ $50 34m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)+105.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 168 +126.8% +105.2% 61% 23% -4.8%
≤30d 168 +126.8% +105.2% 61% 23% -4.8%
≤90d 168 +126.8% +105.2% 61% 23% -4.8%
all 168 +126.8% +105.2% 61% 23% -4.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover423.8 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +105.2% 23% -4.8%
10% +85.5% 17% -13.9%
15% ← realistic here +67.6% 15% -22.2%
20% +51.2% 15% -29.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $28,584.46 · official $28,584.47 (match) · 3500 history records