Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x8977…6579
other · 400 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$389 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$391 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$67
Realized−$391
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses205 / 185
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions10
Markets (closed)390 / 400
History coverage539d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day1.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit27%
Chart Positions 10 History 390 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$25
7 days+$37
14 days+$37
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 5.5 Corners Over 50¢ 48¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-4%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 45¢ 78¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+72%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 3.5 Corners Under 56¢ 82¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+46%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Under 54¢ 54¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 5.5 Corners Under 52¢ 52¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Scotland 40¢ 40¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Scott McTominay: 1+ goals Yes 38¢ 34¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-11%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 4.5 Corners Over 59¢ 28¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-53%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Fury beat Usyk? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-04-10? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-11? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5 Under 44¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-04? No 67¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-20? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Real Oviedo vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5 Over 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-12? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dan Ndoye: 1+ goals Yes 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Pisa SC vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5 Under 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-14? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-24? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 6.5 Corners Jun 13 $5 +$4 +73%
Dan Ndoye: 1+ goals Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Granit Xhaka: 1+ goals Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$6 +114%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 +$5 +107%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 +$12 +118%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 +$4 +74%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $5 +$7 +129%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $5 −$1 -16%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $10 +$3 +30%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 10 $10 $0 -3%
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $20 −$20 -99%
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $10 +$8 +79%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $10 +$6 +59%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $5 +$4 +85%
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $5 −$3 -51%
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5 May 17 $15 +$6 +42%
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $10 +$4 +36%
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $10 −$10 -98%
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $20 −$18 -87%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? May 16 $30 +$14 +47%
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16? May 16 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-05-16? May 16 $10 −$10 -99%
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 5.5 May 15 $1 +$10 +989%
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5 May 15 $20 −$1 -4%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13? May 13 $35 +$18 +52%
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-13? May 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? May 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score May 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12? May 13 $10 +$6 +60%
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? May 12 $5 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET May 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score May 11 $5 +$4 +74%
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-11? May 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11? May 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11? May 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $10 +$6 +57%
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $10 +$5 +48%
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $10 −$10 -99%
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $5 −$5 -99%
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Real Oviedo vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5 May 10 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10? May 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 73% −$338
sports 25% −$27
world 1% −$18
crypto 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 54¢ $5 1h
Scott McTominay: 1+ goals BUY Yes 38¢ $5 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $10 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 5.5 Corners BUY Under 52¢ $5 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 40¢ $5 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 5.5 Corners BUY Over 50¢ $10 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 45¢ $5 1h
Dan Ndoye: 1+ goals BUY Yes 41¢ $1 3h
Granit Xhaka: 1+ goals BUY Yes 28¢ $5 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 6.5 Corners BUY Over 57¢ $5 4h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Switzerland 36¢ $5 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 3.5 Corners BUY Under 56¢ $5 9h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 4.5 Corners BUY Over 59¢ $5 9h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 23h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $5 26h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 99¢ $11 26h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $22 26h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 36¢ $5 27h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 47¢ $5 29h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $5 29h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $9 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 56¢ $5 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 53¢ $5 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 50¢ $5 2d
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? SELL Yes 43¢ $12 2d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) SELL Mexico 52¢ $4 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score SELL No 88¢ $13 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY No 67¢ $10 2d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 60¢ $5 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 69¢ $10 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-4.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +36.4% +23.4% 64% 64% +31.8%
≤30d 30 +33.7% +21.0% 53% 53% -9.6%
≤90d 260 +6.7% -3.5% 52% 51% -18.2%
all 390 +5.4% -4.7% 53% 51% -16.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.7% 51% -16.8%
10% -13.8% 49% -24.8%
15% -22.1% 47% -32.1%
20% -29.8% 37% -38.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $67.24 · official $67.24 (match) · 710 history records