Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:06:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x897f…13ff
crypto · 1858 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$1,969 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,969 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,969
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses927 / 730
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1657 / 1858
History coverage62d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day37.1
Drawdown16%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1657 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$311
7 days+$1,179
14 days+$1,874
30 days+$2,072
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $27 +$23 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $27 +$23 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $27 +$23 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $27 +$23 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $27 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $27 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $27 +$23 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $27 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$24 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$24 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$26 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$23 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$23 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$24 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$23 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$24 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$23 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$23 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$24 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$24 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$24 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$24 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$24 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$24 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$26 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$24 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$24 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$24 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$24 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$24 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$24 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$24 +96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,969
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $27 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $27 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $27 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $27 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $27 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $27 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $27 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $27 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $14 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-1.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 369 +17.8% +6.6% 61% 61% +6.9%
≤30d 1180 +15.8% +4.8% 60% 60% +6.3%
≤90d 1657 +9.4% -1.0% 56% 56% +3.3%
all 1657 +9.4% -1.0% 56% 56% +3.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.0% 56% +3.3%
10% ← realistic here -10.5% 56% -6.6%
15% -19.1% 56% -15.6%
20% -27.1% 56% -23.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records