Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:43:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x8997…111a
crypto · 116 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$262 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$216 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized+$216
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses75 / 40
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)115 / 116
History coverage83d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day1.6
Drawdown43%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 1 History 115 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days−$14
14 days−$14
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Yes 33¢ 32¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-12? Yes 80¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? Yes 65¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +90%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $9 +$10 +109%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 08 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$4 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 08 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Apr 17 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Apr 15 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Apr 15 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Apr 15 $10 +$8 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Apr 15 $6 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Apr 15 $1 $0 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Apr 15 $6 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Apr 15 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Apr 15 $20 +$8 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Apr 15 $7 +$13 +180%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Apr 15 $4 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Apr 15 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Apr 15 $5 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Apr 15 $8 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Apr 15 $4 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Apr 15 $5 −$4 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Apr 15 $19 +$21 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Apr 15 $9 −$7 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Apr 15 $10 +$6 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Apr 15 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Apr 15 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Apr 15 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Apr 15 $5 −$3 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Apr 15 $6 +$3 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Apr 13 $30 −$29 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Apr 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Apr 13 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Apr 13 $6 +$4 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Apr 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Apr 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Apr 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Apr 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Apr 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Apr 13 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Apr 13 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Apr 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Apr 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Apr 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Apr 13 $6 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Apr 13 $6 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Apr 13 $6 +$2 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Apr 13 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Apr 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% +$288
other 7% −$53
world 1% −$19
sports 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $9 15h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 61¢ $10 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $8 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 57d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 59d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $25 59d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 59d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $6 59d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 59d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $6 59d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 59d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $20 59d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $7 59d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 59d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 59d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 59d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $8 59d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 59d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 59d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 59d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 59d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $15 59d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $2 59d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $9 59d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)+6.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -15.4% -23.5% 43% 43% -35.0%
≤30d 7 -15.4% -23.5% 43% 43% -35.0%
≤90d 115 +17.7% +6.5% 65% 59% -1.3%
all 115 +17.7% +6.5% 65% 59% -1.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +6.5% 59% -1.3%
10% -3.7% 53% -10.7%
15% -13.0% 37% -19.4%
20% -21.5% 29% -27.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.55 · official $9.55 (match) · 215 history records