Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:25:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x89a6…3195
crypto · 192 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$11,775 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11,613 · open −$162
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$38
Realized−$11,613
Unrealized−$162
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses105 / 232
Whale WR (big bets)47%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)337 / 192
History coverage2d
Avg bet$408
Trades / day2168.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 337 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11,613
7 days−$11,613
14 days−$11,613
30 days−$11,613
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 50¢ 10¢ $200 $38 −$162 (-81%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $609 $0 −$609 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $202 $0 −$202 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $156 $0 −$156 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $534 $0 −$534 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $155 $0 −$155 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $325 $0 −$325 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $453 $0 −$453 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $472 $0 −$472 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $503 $0 −$503 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $414 $0 −$414 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $305 $0 −$305 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $202 −$202 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $156 −$156 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $155 −$155 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $325 −$325 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $92 −$92 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $334 −$334 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $320 −$320 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $311 −$311 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $172 −$172 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $149 −$149 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $184 −$184 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $242 −$242 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $192 −$192 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $146 −$146 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,196
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $207 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $105 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $207 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $104 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $207 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $188 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $310 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $167 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $7 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $41 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $12 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $9 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $25 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $71 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $309 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $206 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $17 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-45.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 337 -39.8% -45.6% 31% 31% -21.1%
≤30d 337 -39.8% -45.6% 31% 31% -21.1%
≤90d 337 -39.8% -45.6% 31% 31% -21.1%
all 337 -39.8% -45.6% 31% 31% -21.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2168.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -45.6% 31% -21.1%
10% ← realistic here -50.8% 31% -28.6%
15% -55.5% 31% -35.5%
20% -59.9% 31% -41.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $38.00 · official $86.00 · 3500 history records