Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:46:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x89b4…4f46
crypto · 816 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$59 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$59 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$59
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses639 / 177
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)816 / 816
History coverage120d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day7.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 816 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$520
14 days−$483
30 days−$483
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$95
sports 13% +$42
world 1% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 503 -10.7% -19.2% 78% 42% -27.1%
≤30d 579 -8.0% -16.7% 81% 42% -23.8%
≤90d 774 -1.8% -11.1% 79% 45% -12.3%
all 816 -0.4% -9.9% 78% 45% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.9% 45% -11.0%
10% -18.5% 20% -19.5%
15% -26.4% 10% -27.3%
20% -33.6% 8% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1707 history records