Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:15:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x89b4…181c
crypto · 1180 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,506 -26%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,506 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,506
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses357 / 752
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1109 / 1180
History coverage8d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day360.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 0 History 1109 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$607
7 days−$1,287
14 days−$1,506
30 days−$1,506
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$2 -200%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$935
other 7% −$84
sports 0% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-42.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1020 -39.5% -45.3% 31% 28% -30.8%
≤30d 1109 -36.0% -42.1% 32% 29% -27.6%
≤90d 1109 -36.0% -42.1% 32% 29% -27.6%
all 1109 -36.0% -42.1% 32% 29% -27.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover360.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -42.1% 29% -27.6%
10% ← realistic here -47.6% 26% -34.5%
15% -52.7% 23% -40.8%
20% -57.3% 17% -46.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records