Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T01:54:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
89 0x89b5…7037 sports 68 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (68 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$8 (+1%) realized +$8 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate100%68W / 0L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day68.0pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (68 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 68 +1.5% -8.2% 100% 0% -7.9%
≤30d 68 +1.5% -8.2% 100% 0% -7.9%
≤90d 68 +1.5% -8.2% 100% 0% -7.9%
all 68 +1.5% -8.2% 100% 0% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover68.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.2% 0% -7.9%
10% ← realistic here -17.0% 0% -16.7%
15% -25.0% 0% -24.7%
20% -32.4% 0% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 19% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late +2% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses68 / 0
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)68 / 68
History coverage1d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day68.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 68 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Claremont: Maxwell Exsted vs Matt Kuhar Jun 25 $40 $0 +1%
Set 2 Winner: Zamora vs Satterfield Jun 25 $5 $0 +1%
ITF Claremont: Noah Zamora vs Jack Satterfield Jun 25 $39 +$1 +3%
Set 1 Winner: Zamora vs Satterfield Jun 25 $39 +$1 +3%
Zamora vs. Satterfield: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 25 $5 $0 +2%
Zamora vs. Satterfield: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 25 $5 $0 +2%
Zamora vs. Satterfield: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 25 $5 $0 +1%
Zamora vs. Satterfield: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 25 $5 $0 +2%
Zamora vs. Satterfield: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 25 $5 $0 +2%
Set 2 Winner: Kim vs Tallakson Jun 25 $39 +$1 +2%
Kim vs. Tallakson: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 25 $5 $0 +1%
Kim vs. Tallakson: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 25 $5 $0 +1%
Kim vs. Tallakson: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 25 $5 $0 +1%
Kim vs. Tallakson: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 25 $5 $0 +1%
Kim vs. Tallakson: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 25 $5 $0 +2%
Kim vs. Tallakson: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 25 $5 $0 +2%
Set 2 Winner: Exsted vs Kuhar Jun 25 $39 +$1 +2%
Exsted vs. Kuhar: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 24 $5 $0 +2%
Exsted vs. Kuhar: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 24 $5 $0 +1%
Exsted vs. Kuhar: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 24 $5 $0 +1%
ITF Claremont: Alyssa Ahn vs Anna Tabunshchyk Jun 24 $13 $0 +1%
Exsted vs. Kuhar: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 24 $5 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Exsted vs Kuhar Jun 24 $39 +$1 +3%
Exsted vs. Kuhar: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 24 $5 $0 +1%
ITF Claremont: Evan Bynoe vs Gus Grumet Jun 24 $18 $0 +1%
Klaassen vs. Pow: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 24 $5 $0 +2%
Klaassen vs. Pow: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 24 $10 $0 +1%
Klaassen vs. Pow: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 24 $10 $0 +2%
ITF Porto: Vasco Leote Prata vs Tiago Pereira Jun 24 $40 $0 +1%
ITF Claremont: Stian Klaassen vs Luca Pow Jun 24 $39 +$1 +3%
Set 1 Winner: Klaassen vs Pow Jun 24 $39 +$1 +2%
Klaassen vs. Pow: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 24 $5 $0 +2%
Set 2 Winner: Klaassen vs Pow Jun 24 $39 +$1 +2%
Klaassen vs. Pow: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 24 $5 $0 +2%
Klaassen vs. Pow: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 24 $5 $0 +1%
Carle vs. Vandromme: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 24 $5 $0 +1%
ITF Brussels: Jack Loge vs Nicolas Ifi Jun 24 $38 +$2 +6%
Bad Homburg Open (Doubles): Tang/Zhang vs Perez/Schuurs Jun 24 $39 +$1 +2%
Set 2 Winner: Semenistaja vs Hibino Jun 24 $40 $0 +1%
Makhlouf vs. Ferra: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 24 $10 $0 +1%
Gorgodze vs. Jeanjean: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 24 $5 $0 +1%
Rakotomanga vs. Zhu: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 24 $5 $0 +1%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Alina Korneeva vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia Jun 24 $40 $0 +1%
Ruiz vs. Tiffon: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 24 $5 $0 +1%
Harrison/Osborne vs. Eala/Williams: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 24 $5 $0 +1%
Smith vs. Echargui: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 24 $10 $0 +1%
ITF Tarvisio: Sofia Rocchetti vs Lea Boskovic Jun 24 $17 $0 +1%
Kalyanpur/Taylor vs. Latinovic/Vrbensky: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 Jun 24 $5 $0 +1%
Set 1 Winner: Bu vs Tabur Jun 24 $40 $0 +1%
Bhambri/Venus vs. Andreozzi/Guinard: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 24 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Zamora vs. Satterfield: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 1h
Set 2 Winner: Zamora vs Satterfield BUY Satterfield 99¢ $5 1h
ITF Claremont: Noah Zamora vs Jack Satterfield BUY Jack Satterfield 97¢ $39 1h
Zamora vs. Satterfield: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 98¢ $5 1h
ITF Claremont: Maxwell Exsted vs Matt Kuhar BUY Maxwell Exsted 99¢ $40 1h
Zamora vs. Satterfield: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 98¢ $5 1h
Set 2 Winner: Kim vs Tallakson BUY Kim 98¢ $39 2h
Kim vs. Tallakson: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 2h
Kim vs. Tallakson: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 2h
Kim vs. Tallakson: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 2h
Set 1 Winner: Zamora vs Satterfield BUY Satterfield 97¢ $39 2h
Kim vs. Tallakson: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 2h
Kim vs. Tallakson: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 98¢ $5 2h
Zamora vs. Satterfield: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Over 98¢ $5 2h
Exsted vs. Kuhar: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 2h
Set 2 Winner: Exsted vs Kuhar BUY Exsted 98¢ $39 2h
Exsted vs. Kuhar: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 2h
Exsted vs. Kuhar: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 98¢ $5 2h
Kim vs. Tallakson: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 98¢ $5 2h
Zamora vs. Satterfield: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 98¢ $5 3h
ITF Claremont: Alyssa Ahn vs Anna Tabunshchyk BUY Alyssa Ahn 99¢ $13 3h
Set 1 Winner: Exsted vs Kuhar BUY Kuhar 97¢ $39 3h
Exsted vs. Kuhar: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 3h
Exsted vs. Kuhar: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 3h
ITF Claremont: Evan Bynoe vs Gus Grumet BUY Evan Bynoe 99¢ $18 4h
ITF Porto: Vasco Leote Prata vs Tiago Pereira BUY Tiago Pereira 99¢ $40 6h
ITF Claremont: Stian Klaassen vs Luca Pow BUY Luca Pow 97¢ $39 6h
Klaassen vs. Pow: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 99¢ $10 7h
Set 2 Winner: Klaassen vs Pow BUY Klaassen 98¢ $39 7h
Klaassen vs. Pow: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 98¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 136 history records