Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:24:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x89b5…8beb
crypto · 187 markets active 10d ago
0.0score
−$1,308 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,308 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,308
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses110 / 76
Whale WR (big bets)68%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)186 / 187
History coverage1d
Avg bet$190
Trades / day3161.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 186 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days−$1,308
30 days−$1,308
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $86 $0 −$86 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $284 $0 −$284 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET Jun 03 $542 +$73 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET Jun 03 $700 +$116 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET Jun 03 $728 +$184 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET Jun 03 $718 +$62 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7PM ET Jun 03 $805 +$146 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 03 $509 +$140 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7PM ET Jun 03 $503 −$10 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 03 $213 +$31 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 03 $76 +$13 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 03 $75 +$14 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 7PM ET Jun 03 $205 +$31 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7PM ET Jun 03 $148 +$124 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 03 $1,454 +$358 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 03 $33 −$33 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 03 $11 −$4 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 03 $523 −$192 -37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 03 $68 −$64 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 03 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 03 $1,122 −$33 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 03 $116 −$116 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 03 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 03 $96 −$77 -80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 03 $19 +$3 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 03 $488 −$174 -36%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 03 $369 −$341 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 03 $158 −$145 -92%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 03 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 03 $752 +$184 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 03 $69 +$17 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 03 $37 +$5 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 03 $117 −$100 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 03 $665 +$214 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 03 $104 +$40 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 03 $61 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 03 $352 +$264 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 03 $520 +$104 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 03 $17 −$1 -5%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 03 $35 +$4 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 03 $53 −$4 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 03 $77 +$19 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 03 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 03 $87 +$40 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 03 $115 −$1 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 03 $14 −$8 -54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6PM ET Jun 03 $297 −$3 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 6PM ET Jun 03 $30 +$6 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6PM ET Jun 03 $163 +$38 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,308
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $50 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 9d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $0 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $19 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $72 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $6 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $3 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $40 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $57 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $10 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $46 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $95 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $6 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $17 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $103 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $30 9d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 9d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $0 9d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 9d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 9d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 9d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 9d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 9d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $0 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $36 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $18 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-6.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +18.7% +7.4% 100% 100% +4.0%
≤30d 186 +3.7% -6.2% 59% 52% -12.4%
≤90d 186 +3.7% -6.2% 59% 52% -12.4%
all 186 +3.7% -6.2% 59% 52% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3161.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.2% 52% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -15.2% 33% -20.8%
15% -23.4% 18% -28.4%
20% -30.9% 14% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records