Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:41:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x89c7…8cce
other · 261 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$84 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$96 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$96
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)5%
Wins / losses13 / 248
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)261 / 261
History coverage139d
Avg bet$212
Trades / day10.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 0 History 261 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$21
14 days−$32
30 days−$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $446 −$1 -0%
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 14 $29 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 14 $393 −$1 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 13 $450 −$1 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 13 $297 $0 -0%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 Jun 13 $141 $0 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $55 $0 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 13 $346 −$1 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 13 $113 $0 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $286 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 12 $290 −$1 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $385 −$1 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $286 −$1 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $116 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $804 −$1 -0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $56 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $259 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $455 −$1 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $127 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $514 −$1 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 10 $327 −$1 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 10 $212 $0 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 10 $218 −$1 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $129 $0 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $481 −$1 -0%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $57 $0 -1%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $188 $0 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 09 $118 $0 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 09 $429 −$1 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $1,064 −$1 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $575 −$1 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 08 $58 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $617 −$1 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $392 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $132 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 08 $308 −$1 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $386 −$1 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 07 $326 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $202 $0 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 05 $392 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $687 −$1 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 04 $380 −$1 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 03 $200 $0 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 03 $536 −$1 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $428 −$1 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $291 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 02 $442 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 02 $452 −$1 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $360 $0 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 01 $184 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 46% −$41
sports 22% −$21
politics 10% −$9
culture 7% −$7
economics 6% −$8
crypto 5% −$4
world 3% −$3
finance 1% −$1
tech 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $54 1h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $54 2h
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 100¢ $29 5h
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 100¢ $29 6h
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $54 7h
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $55 9h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $55 10h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $55 11h
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $55 13h
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $55 15h
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $55 17h
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $55 19h
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 SELL No 98¢ $15 22h
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 BUY No 98¢ $15 24h
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $55 26h
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $55 27h
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $55 29h
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $55 30h
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 99¢ $55 32h
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 99¢ $55 34h
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $55 35h
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $55 36h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? SELL No 99¢ $55 41h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? BUY No 100¢ $55 43h
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $55 44h
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $55 46h
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $55 2d
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $55 2d
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $55 2d
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $56 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 74 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 186 -0.2% -9.7% 2% 0% -9.7%
all 261 -0.2% -9.7% 5% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1489 history records