Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:39:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x89c9…9534
sports · 904 markets active 2h ago
0.5score
−$78,922 -51%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,006 · open +$76
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$816
Realized+$5,006
Unrealized+$76
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses472 / 428
Whale WR (big bets)79%
Est. fees paid−$1,431
Open positions4
Markets (closed)900 / 904
History coverage77d
Avg bet$170
Trades / day32.8
Drawdown65%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 4 History 900 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$322
7 days−$979
14 days−$83
30 days+$231
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) Mauricio Ruffy 83¢ 80¢ $546 $530 −$16 (-3%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets New York Mets 54¢ 82¢ $113 $173 +$60 (+53%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Washington Nationals 46¢ 82¢ $37 $66 +$29 (+79%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Detroit Tigers 51¢ 55¢ $43 $47 +$3 (+8%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Jun 14 $53 +$25 +47%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz Jun 14 $650 −$650 -100%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $134 −$134 -100%
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 14 $116 −$116 -100%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $1,560 +$1,040 +67%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 14 $43 −$43 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 14 $104 −$104 -100%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $477 −$477 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $39 +$44 +113%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $34 +$44 +133%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $1,266 +$234 +18%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $46 +$41 +90%
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) Jun 13 $309 −$3 -1%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $36 −$36 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $30 +$43 +146%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $250 +$160 +64%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 12 $19 +$20 +109%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs James McCabe Jun 12 $128 +$46 +36%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series Jun 11 $101 −$10 -10%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $37 −$37 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $37 −$37 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 11 $51 −$51 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $122 −$122 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $32 +$41 +129%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $10 +$22 +216%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $21 +$20 +97%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $45 +$42 +93%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $45 +$43 +97%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin Jun 10 $78 +$47 +60%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 10 $82 +$47 +57%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $43 −$43 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $43 −$43 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $40 −$40 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $77 −$77 -100%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 10 $255 −$255 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $116 +$9 +8%
Stuttgart Open: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs James Duckworth Jun 09 $10 −$4 -42%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 09 $160 +$54 +34%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Jenson Brooksby Jun 09 $17 +$21 +124%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 09 $130 +$19 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% +$4,430
other 4% +$261
politics 0% +$386
world 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 51¢ $44 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 54¢ $115 1h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 46¢ $37 1h
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Kamil Majchrzak 68¢ $53 4h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 65¢ $107 4h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 65¢ $5 4h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 65¢ $253 4h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 65¢ $178 4h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 65¢ $107 4h
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Mai BUY Mauricio Ruffy 83¢ $549 14h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $134 14h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 60¢ $1,560 15h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 43¢ $32 18h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 38¢ $27 18h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Cincinnati Reds 84¢ $1,266 20h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Cleveland Guardians 43¢ $34 22h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 47¢ $39 22h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 35¢ $24 22h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 52¢ $104 22h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 49¢ $5 22h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 49¢ $14 22h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 49¢ $43 23h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 49¢ $21 23h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $477 23h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 52¢ $46 26h
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) SELL Bo Nickal 73¢ $306 28h
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) BUY Bo Nickal 73¢ $6 39h
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) BUY Bo Nickal 73¢ $27 39h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Alexander Bublik 55¢ $44 41h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 40¢ $30 41h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 -8.8% -17.5% 46% 43% -18.2%
≤30d 298 +1.2% -8.4% 50% 47% -9.1%
≤90d 900 +0.7% -8.9% 52% 50% -6.6%
all 900 +0.7% -8.9% 52% 50% -6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.9% 50% -6.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 46% -15.5%
15% -25.5% 40% -23.7%
20% -32.8% 35% -31.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $815.69 · official $794.24 · 3500 history records