Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:16:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x89d3…2ba9
crypto · 707 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$74 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$74 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$74
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses379 / 328
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)707 / 707
History coverage50d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day19.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 707 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days+$207
14 days+$209
30 days+$116
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$7 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$22 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$5 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$34 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$9 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$6 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$29 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$8 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$11 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$22 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$7 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $23 −$22 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$15 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$19 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$11 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$15 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$34 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$18 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$6 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $34 +$12 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$9 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$11 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $34 +$14 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$9 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$8 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$22 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$20 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$8 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$6 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $34 +$12 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$9 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $34 +$13 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$8 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$7 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $38 −$4 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $34 +$12 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$10 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$6 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$10 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$8 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$5 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$44
other 1% −$29
sports 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $15 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $35 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $23 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $15 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $16 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $35 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $23 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $15 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $23 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $15 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $23 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $16 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $35 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $23 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $15 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $35 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $23 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $15 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $34 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $23 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $15 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $15 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $15 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $15 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $15 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $16 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $16 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $15 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-17.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 454 +4.3% -5.6% 70% 70% -7.5%
≤30d 506 +3.0% -6.8% 70% 70% -8.6%
≤90d 707 -8.8% -17.5% 54% 53% -10.1%
all 707 -8.8% -17.5% 54% 53% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.5% 53% -10.1%
10% -25.4% 49% -18.7%
15% -32.6% 34% -26.6%
20% -39.2% 13% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1601 history records