Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x89e7…0ffa
other · 567 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
−$1,009 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,009 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$106
Realized−$1,009
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses344 / 219
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions4
Markets (closed)563 / 567
History coverage488d
Avg bet$158
Trades / day6.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 4 History 563 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$54
7 days+$60
14 days+$60
30 days+$71
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 48¢ 100¢ $33 $70 +$36 (+109%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 58¢ 55¢ $35 $33 −$2 (-7%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 24¢ 20¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-13%)
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18? No 96¢ 0¢ $228 $0 −$228 (-100%)
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday? No 67¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
UFC 318: Costa vs. Kopylov Kopylov 67¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Job" 7+ times during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15? No 54¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Will Trump say Biden 3+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29? No 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Netanyahu say "Palestine" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Saturday? No 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5? Yes 45¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 2 ET? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Tariff" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15? No 41¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - July 30, 12PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Metodej Jilek (CZE) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 10000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? No 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will JD Vance say "Trump" or "President" 30+ times during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28? No 68¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026? No 69¢ 0¢ $134 $0 −$134 (-100%)
Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier Poirier 46¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will Vladimir Semirunniy (POL) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 10000m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? Yes 65¢ 0¢ $94 $0 −$94 (-100%)
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday? No 44¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET? No 23¢ 0¢ $383 $0 −$383 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $92 +$38 +41%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 +$7 +223%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $28 +$12 +42%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $10 −$10 -98%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Jun 09 $72 +$17 +24%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? May 21 $63 +$10 +16%
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7? Mar 23 $11 +$9 +79%
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3? Mar 23 $36 +$5 +14%
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3? Mar 03 $23 −$23 -100%
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5? Mar 03 $28 −$11 -41%
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4? Mar 03 $42 −$42 -100%
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4? Mar 03 $31 −$6 -18%
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5? Mar 03 $61 −$61 -100%
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7? Mar 03 $26 −$26 -100%
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? Mar 02 $127 −$15 -12%
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March? Mar 02 $204 −$40 -20%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Mar 01 $56 −$4 -6%
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? Mar 01 $76 −$3 -4%
Will Iran strike Israel on March 1? Mar 01 $62 +$10 +16%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? Feb 28 $19 −$19 -100%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? Feb 28 $10 −$1 -13%
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026? Feb 28 $40 +$40 +100%
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? Feb 28 $44 +$36 +83%
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? Feb 28 $164 +$222 +135%
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026? Feb 27 $154 −$134 -87%
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? Feb 27 $126 +$3 +2%
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? Feb 27 $17 −$1 -5%
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? Feb 27 $101 −$2 -2%
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? Feb 25 $493 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Feb 24 $5 −$5 -98%
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? Feb 24 $8 −$3 -38%
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? Feb 22 $256 +$14 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Feb 13 $80 +$25 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Feb 13 $61 −$61 -100%
Will Vladimir Semirunniy (POL) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics Feb 13 $94 −$94 -100%
Will Metodej Jilek (CZE) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Feb 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Davide Ghiotto (ITA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Feb 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Men's Group C - Latvia vs. USA Feb 13 $146 +$7 +5%
Will Leavitt say "Kamala" during the next press briefing? Feb 12 $18 +$2 +10%
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026? Feb 12 $35 +$1 +3%
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026? Feb 12 $146 +$4 +3%
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-10? Feb 10 $46 −$46 -100%
Will Leavitt say "Radical Left" during the next press briefing? Feb 10 $16 +$4 +27%
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? Feb 10 $244 +$7 +3%
Bulls vs. Nets Feb 10 $8 −$2 -33%
Pistons vs. Hornets Feb 10 $18 +$2 +9%
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31? Feb 10 $202 −$202 -100%
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get betw Feb 10 $75 +$4 +6%
Seahawks vs. Patriots Feb 09 $24 +$12 +47%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 37% +$219
other 28% −$1,453
politics 15% +$575
crypto 11% +$45
sports 9% −$158
tech 1% −$24
economics 0% −$218
finance 0% −$7
culture 0% +$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 71¢ $14 40m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 24¢ $2 54m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 23¢ $2 54m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 52¢ $21 55m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $10 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $24 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $17 5h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $17 5h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 74¢ $15 21h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 73¢ $22 21h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 72¢ $22 21h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 72¢ $15 21h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 71¢ $14 21h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $5 42h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 43h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 43h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 43h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 31¢ $0 43h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 31¢ $1 43h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 31¢ $2 43h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 31¢ $1 43h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $28 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 45¢ $10 4d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? BUY No 81¢ $72 23d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? BUY No 86¢ $63 62d
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3? BUY Yes 50¢ $15 102d
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5? SELL Yes 41¢ $16 102d
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4? BUY Yes 80¢ $25 102d
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4? SELL Yes 63¢ $25 102d
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3? BUY Yes 74¢ $8 102d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +21.4% +9.8% 67% 67% +16.7%
≤30d 7 +20.6% +9.1% 71% 71% +14.1%
≤90d 9 +26.3% +14.3% 78% 78% +14.4%
all 563 -6.6% -15.5% 61% 40% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.5% 40% -10.5%
10% -23.6% 25% -19.1%
15% -31.0% 17% -26.9%
20% -37.7% 11% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $106.44 · official $106.46 (match) · 3500 history records