trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | 57¢ | 100¢ | $9 | $16 | +$7 (+75%) |
| San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles | San Diego Padres | 71¢ | 100¢ | $5 | $7 | +$2 (+41%) |
| Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox | Boston Red Sox | 54¢ | 100¢ | $2 | $3 | +$1 (+84%) |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | Yes | 53¢ | 52¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-2%) |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | Yes | 52¢ | 51¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 40¢ | 38¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox | Texas Rangers | 43¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-99%) |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals | Seattle Mariners | 20¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox | Chicago White Sox | 38¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins | Minnesota Twins | 18¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles | Seattle Mariners | 51¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Los Angeles Angels | 25¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 81¢ | 0¢ | $32 | $0 | −$32 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians | Jun 13 | $9 | −$2 | -26% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets | Jun 13 | $18 | −$1 | -7% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds | Jun 13 | $4 | +$6 | +156% |
| New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Jun 13 | $13 | −$4 | -33% |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $199 | −$9 | -5% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 12 | $179 | −$9 | -5% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $219 | −$9 | -4% |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals | Jun 11 | $5 | +$3 | +67% |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies | Jun 11 | $4 | $0 | +11% |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Jun 06 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -4.1% | -13.2% | 27% | 27% | -14.0% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -12.1% | -20.5% | 25% | 25% | -14.5% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -12.1% | -20.5% | 25% | 25% | -14.5% |
| all | 12 | -12.1% | -20.5% | 25% | 25% | -14.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.5% | 25% | -14.5% |
| 10% | -28.1% | 17% | -22.7% |
| 15% | -35.0% | 17% | -30.1% |
| 20% | -41.4% | 17% | -37.0% |