Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:14:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x89ea…bb54
crypto · 905 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$184 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$184 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$184
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses501 / 431
Open positions0
Markets (closed)932 / 905
History coverage23d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day112.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 932 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$88
7 days−$106
14 days−$140
30 days−$184
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 83¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+21%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 79¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$3 -598%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$3 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$4 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$3 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $22 −$2 -7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$103
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $8 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 94 -34.0% -40.3% 35% 2% -17.0%
≤30d 932 -2.7% -12.0% 54% 13% -10.8%
≤90d 932 -2.7% -12.0% 54% 13% -10.8%
all 932 -2.7% -12.0% 54% 13% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover112.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.0% 13% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.4% 2% -19.3%
15% -28.1% 1% -27.1%
20% -35.2% 1% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.93 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records