Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:36:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

89
0x89eb…cff9
sports · 301 markets active 1h ago
6.0score
+$7,122 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6,720 · open +$402
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,902
Realized+$6,720
Unrealized+$402
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses148 / 144
Whale WR (big bets)66%
Est. fees paid−$1,891
Open positions9
Markets (closed)292 / 301
History coverage97d
Avg bet$590
Trades / day4.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 9 History 292 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$958
7 days+$4,468
14 days+$6,568
30 days+$3,153
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 100¢ $300 $638 +$338 (+113%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $500 $527 +$27 (+5%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 34¢ 36¢ $500 $522 +$22 (+4%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Vitality 48¢ 48¢ $500 $500 +$0 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 57¢ 56¢ $500 $496 −$4 (-1%)
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) FUT Esports 46¢ 46¢ $500 $495 −$5 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 62¢ 62¢ $300 $298 −$2 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 42¢ 40¢ $300 $289 −$11 (-4%)
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $100 $138 +$38 (+38%)
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) FC Bayern München 41¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-2.5) vs Legacy (+2.5) Team Falcons 36¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 52¢ 0¢ $800 $0 −$800 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A Astralis 47¢ 0¢ $492 $0 −$492 (-100%)
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5) Aurora Gaming 38¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage TheMongolz 33¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 53¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 62¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs 3DMAX 50¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B 3DMAX 57¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage TheMongolz 51¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs M80 (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A paiN 55¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs G2 46¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A paiN 49¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5) Gentle Mates 39¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $206 −$154 -75%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $807 +$346 +43%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $813 −$800 -98%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $1,012 −$1,000 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $1,112 −$1,100 -99%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $304 −$300 -99%
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $508 −$114 -22%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $304 +$196 +65%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $303 +$151 +50%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $507 −$500 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $304 −$300 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $506 +$288 +57%
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $304 +$217 +71%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,011 +$576 +57%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $1,011 +$576 +57%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $506 +$356 +70%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $508 +$603 +119%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 10 $812 −$800 -99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $1,013 +$773 +76%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $508 +$579 +114%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $1,008 +$362 +36%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $508 −$500 -98%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 08 $407 +$545 +134%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $1,514 +$660 +44%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $3,040 +$2,318 +76%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1,012 −$980 -97%
Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 08 $509 −$500 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $3,046 +$3,098 +102%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $2,379 +$1,950 +82%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1,515 +$724 +48%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $507 +$473 +93%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $2,029 −$2,000 -99%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1,011 −$1,000 -99%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 06 $1,012 +$683 +67%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $504 +$204 +40%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $807 +$320 +40%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $2,534 +$2,018 +80%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $508 −$500 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $1,009 +$400 +40%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $808 +$380 +47%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $2,023 −$2,000 -99%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $809 +$489 +60%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $505 −$500 -99%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $304 +$232 +76%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $1,521 −$1,000 -66%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $1,014 −$1,000 -99%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $807 +$336 +42%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 05 $304 −$300 -99%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $809 +$460 +57%
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5) Jun 05 $306 +$484 +158%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% +$8,031
other 3% −$910
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY FUT Esports 46¢ $508 1h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) BUY Vitality 48¢ $508 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 62¢ $303 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 42¢ $305 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 57¢ $506 1h
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $52 7h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 44¢ $813 9h
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $103 9h
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $103 9h
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $103 9h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 43¢ $203 9h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 63¢ $809 10h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 48¢ $305 10h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 70¢ $303 13h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $303 13h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $305 13h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $304 13h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 34¢ $510 13h
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 40¢ $394 13h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $505 25h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 69¢ $505 25h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $507 25h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 56¢ $304 25h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $303 25h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 60¢ $304 25h
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5 BUY Under 58¢ $304 44h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 16¢ $487 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Aurora Gaming 63¢ $1,011 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 63¢ $506 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $1,011 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 +1.1% -8.5% 59% 59% -0.2%
≤30d 138 +1.9% -7.8% 56% 56% -6.4%
≤90d 282 -5.5% -14.5% 50% 50% -8.8%
all 292 -3.3% -12.5% 51% 51% -5.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.5% 51% -5.6%
10% -20.9% 51% -14.6%
15% -28.5% 50% -22.9%
20% -35.5% 44% -30.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,902.15 · official $3,902.23 (match) · 610 history records