Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:56:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8A
0x8a02…949b
crypto · 53 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$10 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses34 / 18
Open positions1
Markets (closed)52 / 53
History coverage3d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day59.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 52 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 58¢ 60¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $7 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$3 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $0 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)+2.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 +12.9% +2.1% 65% 54% -17.7%
≤30d 52 +12.9% +2.1% 65% 54% -17.7%
≤90d 52 +12.9% +2.1% 65% 54% -17.7%
all 52 +12.9% +2.1% 65% 54% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover59.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.1% 54% -17.7%
10% ← realistic here -7.6% 42% -25.6%
15% -16.6% 29% -32.8%
20% -24.7% 13% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.42 · official $1.20 (match) · 221 history records