trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -19.9% | -27.6% | 58% | 50% | -5.7% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -21.0% | -28.5% | 57% | 50% | -6.9% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -25.9% | -32.9% | 53% | 47% | -7.9% |
| all | 28 | -22.4% | -29.8% | 50% | 43% | -34.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -29.8% | 43% | -34.6% |
| 10% | -36.5% | 36% | -40.8% |
| 15% | -42.6% | 32% | -46.6% |
| 20% | -48.2% | 18% | -51.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 58¢ | 60¢ | $30 | $31 | +$1 (+4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $51 | +$30 | +59% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $100 | +$12 | +12% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $50 | +$16 | +32% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $100 | +$9 | +8% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $50 | +$24 | +48% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $10 | +$5 | +48% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $10 | +$5 | +54% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$5 | +46% |
| Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Riders | Mar 29 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| T20 World Cup: England vs India | Mar 05 | $150 | −$11 | -7% |
| T20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1) | Feb 16 | $5 | −$3 | -68% |
| T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1) | Feb 15 | $20 | +$7 | +36% |
| T20 World Cup: Australia vs Zimbabwe (Game 1) | Feb 13 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| T20 World Cup: India vs Namibia (Game 1) | Feb 13 | $296 | +$4 | +1% |
| T20 World Cup: England vs West Indies (Game 1) | Feb 12 | $7 | +$4 | +53% |
| Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic | Feb 01 | $2 | +$1 | +69% |
| International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 4) | Jan 28 | $5 | +$8 | +158% |
| International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 2) | Jan 23 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 2) | Jan 14 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 1) | Jan 12 | $20 | +$4 | +20% |
| Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-10? | Nov 10 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | Nov 10 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |