trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spurs (-3.5) | Knicks | 62¢ | 100¢ | $7 | $11 | +$4 (+61%) |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | Golden Knights | 70¢ | 69¢ | $8 | $8 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5 | Over | 27¢ | 100¢ | $2 | $7 | +$5 (+270%) |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Golden Knights | 50¢ | 48¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 | Under | 56¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Raptors vs. Magic: O/U 220.5 | Under | 51¢ | 0¢ | $2,351 | $0 | −$2,351 (-100%) |
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5 | Over | 52¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 | Under | 45¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Spread: Spurs (-8.5) | Spurs | 38¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $0 | −$4 (-100%) |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 | Over | 42¢ | 0¢ | $6 | $0 | −$6 (-100%) |
| Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5 | Over | 55¢ | 0¢ | $19 | $0 | −$19 (-100%) |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5 | Under | 27¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Spurs (-3.5) | Jun 09 | $7 | +$4 | +61% |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) | Jun 08 | $4 | +$2 | +48% |
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5 | Jun 08 | $6 | +$2 | +29% |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5 | Jun 08 | $7 | +$4 | +49% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | Jun 08 | $6 | +$5 | +86% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5 | Jun 08 | $8 | +$6 | +75% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 08 | $433 | −$1 | -0% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5 | Jun 07 | $2 | +$5 | +265% |
| Spread: Spurs (-8.5) | Jun 03 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 | Jun 01 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 4.5 | May 28 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5 | May 26 | $4 | −$4 | -99% |
| Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 | May 23 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 | May 19 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5 | Mar 19 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 me | Mar 19 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Raptors vs. Magic: O/U 220.5 | Jan 30 | $2,351 | −$2,351 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +77.4% | +60.5% | 88% | 88% | -4.3% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 50% | 50% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -5.0% | -14.1% | 50% | 44% | -12.4% |
| all | 17 | -10.6% | -19.1% | 47% | 41% | -83.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.1% | 41% | -83.7% |
| 10% | -26.9% | 41% | -85.3% |
| 15% | -33.9% | 35% | -86.7% |
| 20% | -40.4% | 24% | -88.0% |