trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +2.1% | -7.6% | 58% | 50% | -5.9% |
| ≤30d | 19 | +2.5% | -7.2% | 74% | 32% | -7.1% |
| ≤90d | 19 | +2.5% | -7.2% | 74% | 32% | -7.1% |
| all | 19 | +2.5% | -7.2% | 74% | 32% | -7.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.2% | 32% | -7.1% |
| 10% | -16.1% | 16% | -15.9% |
| 15% | -24.2% | 5% | -24.1% |
| 20% | -31.6% | 5% | -31.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 85¢ | 92¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | Jun 29 | $253 | +$24 | +10% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $201 | +$30 | +15% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $100 | +$17 | +17% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | Jun 26 | $5 | +$17 | +325% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $101 | +$21 | +21% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $101 | +$34 | +34% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $101 | +$31 | +31% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $12 | −$12 | -97% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Jun 24 | $10 | −$3 | -28% |
| US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? | Jun 02 | $20 | +$2 | +9% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $50 | +$1 | +3% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | Jun 01 | $100 | +$3 | +3% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | Jun 01 | $100 | +$2 | +2% |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? | Jun 01 | $40 | +$1 | +4% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $600 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31? | Jun 01 | $50 | +$1 | +3% |