Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:23:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8A
0x8a5a…97ae
crypto · 661 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$72 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$69 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$56
Realized−$69
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses301 / 334
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions26
Markets (closed)635 / 661
History coverage111d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day23.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 26 History 635 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$24
7 days−$2
14 days−$12
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-4%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ 20¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+12%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 54¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Over 67¢ 66¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 24¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 Over 58¢ 56¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-8%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 50¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-9%)
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-10%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5 Over 4¢ 5¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+17%)
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-50%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Over 39¢ 38¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Over 19¢ 18¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
United States leading at halftime? Yes 35¢ 34¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 26¢ 24¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5 Over 22¢ 20¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 Over 20¢ 18¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 6¢ 5¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-10%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Korea Republic to win the second half? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +143%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Korea Republic O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $2 +$4 +172%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 +$5 +162%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 +$10 +980%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 1 Czechia? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -24%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 +$1 +77%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2 +$1 +52%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +45%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$3 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$5 +120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$91
other 2% +$15
world 1% −$1
sports 1% +$6
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 19¢ $1 14m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 39¢ $1 15m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 67¢ $2 15m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $2 16m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 BUY Over 58¢ $2 24m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $0 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-20.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 120 -2.4% -11.7% 51% 46% -10.0%
≤30d 161 -6.1% -15.0% 50% 45% -11.8%
≤90d 289 -13.7% -21.9% 47% 41% -15.1%
all 635 -11.9% -20.3% 47% 39% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.3% 39% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -27.9% 29% -19.9%
15% -34.9% 20% -27.7%
20% -41.3% 14% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $55.77 · official $55.77 (match) · 2721 history records