Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:37:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8A
0x8a67…e403
sports · 124 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$301,933 -37%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$319,834 · open +$17,901
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$43,825
Realized−$319,834
Unrealized+$17,901
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses71 / 75
Whale WR (big bets)43%
Est. fees paid−$11,477
Open positions2
Markets (closed)146 / 124
History coverage14d
Avg bet$6,608
Trades / day244.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 146 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$346,252
7 days−$312,643
14 days−$319,834
30 days−$319,834
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Daniel Galan 60¢ 100¢ $13,846 $22,799 +$8,954 (+65%)
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Roberto Carballes Baena 57¢ 100¢ $12,079 $21,026 +$8,947 (+74%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jeline Vandromme 46¢ 0¢ $2,570 $0 −$2,570 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Yulia Starodubtseva Moyuka Uchijima 52¢ 0¢ $1,538 $0 −$1,538 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $453 $0 −$453 (-100%)
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Emilio Nava 47¢ 0¢ $10,550 $0 −$10,550 (-100%)
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Emma Navarro 53¢ 0¢ $4,248 $0 −$4,248 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1,960 $0 −$1,960 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1,960 $0 −$1,960 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar Alex Michelsen 49¢ 0¢ $3,356 $0 −$3,356 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1,020 $0 −$1,020 (-100%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals Cleveland Guardians 52¢ 0¢ $15,803 $0 −$15,803 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $470 $0 −$470 (-100%)
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Leylah Fernandez 32¢ 0¢ $2,855 $0 −$2,855 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $510 $0 −$510 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Modena: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Darja Semenistaja Marina Bassols Ribera 40¢ 0¢ $3,371 $0 −$3,371 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1,600 $0 −$1,600 (-100%)
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Hubert Hurkacz 54¢ 0¢ $4,331 $0 −$4,331 (-100%)
Centurion 2: Arda Azkara vs Khololwam Montsi Arda Azkara 45¢ 0¢ $8,416 $0 −$8,416 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $490 $0 −$490 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $980 $0 −$980 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Seattle Mariners 53¢ 0¢ $5,035 $0 −$5,035 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1,331 $0 −$1,331 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Nick Kyrgios 61¢ 0¢ $57,330 $0 −$57,330 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Madrid Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Yulia Starodubtseva Jun 12 $1,538 −$1,538 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar Jun 12 $3,356 −$3,356 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 12 $15,803 −$15,803 -100%
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 12 $2,855 −$2,855 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1,600 −$1,600 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $490 −$490 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $1,331 −$1,331 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $17,170 −$17,170 -100%
Barcelona Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur Fils Jun 12 $4,954 −$4,954 -100%
Madrid Open, Qualification: Sloane Stephens vs Anhelina Kalinina Jun 12 $5,926 −$5,926 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $180 −$180 -100%
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ben Shelton Jun 12 $50,169 −$50,169 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals Jun 12 $1,538 −$1,538 -100%
Abidjan: Maxime Chazal vs Millen Hurrion Jun 12 $4,112 −$4,112 -100%
Madrid Open, Qualification: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Daria Snigur Jun 12 $1,478 −$1,478 -100%
BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcan Jun 12 $62,233 −$62,233 -100%
BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton Jun 12 $15,443 −$15,443 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 12 $2,955 −$2,955 -100%
Madrid Open, Qualification: Quentin Halys vs Jaime Faria Jun 12 $1,478 −$1,478 -100%
Warriors vs. Clippers Jun 12 $40,001 −$40,001 -100%
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff Jun 12 $12,651 −$12,651 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 12 $15,083 −$15,083 -100%
Madrid Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Jun 12 $3,939 −$3,939 -100%
Hornets vs. Magic Jun 12 $72 −$43,674 -60271%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $19,932 +$10,744 +54%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $18,710 +$13,900 +74%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 12 $24,377 −$3,169 -13%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Jun 11 $10,716 −$10,550 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $58,008 −$57,330 -99%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 11 $4,984 +$5,035 +101%
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw? Jun 10 $3,041 +$1,789 +59%
Tucuman: Maximo Zeitune vs Arklon Del Pino Jun 10 $69 −$69 -100%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Paul Jubb Jun 10 $16,916 +$13,159 +78%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $18,107 +$12,018 +66%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 10 $22,069 −$21,826 -99%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Christopher O'Connell Jun 10 $10,937 −$10,781 -99%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $9,850 −$9,713 -99%
Ilkley: Emerson Jones vs Dalma Galfi Jun 10 $5,479 −$5,388 -98%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jun 10 $2,611 −$2,570 -98%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 10 $4,391 −$4,331 -99%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $7,386 +$5,864 +79%
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Jun 09 $3,215 +$6,056 +188%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 09 $2,044 +$1,186 +58%
Lyon: Matteo Martineau vs Mickael Kaouk Jun 09 $2,926 +$1,667 +57%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Jonas Forejtek Jun 09 $2,994 +$2,104 +70%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $4,456 +$3,683 +83%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Jun 09 $4,675 +$5,325 +114%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Ella McDonald Jun 09 $17,960 +$12,337 +69%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Alice Tubello Jun 09 $6,797 +$7,146 +105%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 09 $4,308 −$4,248 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% +$9,009
crypto 4% −$989
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 59¢ $3,859 1h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 59¢ $2,893 1h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 59¢ $2,648 1h
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 58¢ $7 1h
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 58¢ $2 1h
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 58¢ $2,314 1h
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 58¢ $3,130 1h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 62¢ $2,161 1h
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 57¢ $2,208 1h
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 57¢ $2,066 1h
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 57¢ $2,248 1h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 65¢ $2,442 1h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 65¢ $3 1h
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 56¢ $258 1h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 58¢ $4 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 100¢ $30,152 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 55¢ $3 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 55¢ $412 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron SELL Ben Shelton 55¢ $109 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 63¢ $13,631 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 67¢ $7 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 64¢ $6,295 2h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal SELL Mark Lajal 99¢ $32,609 2h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Mark Lajal 60¢ $49 2h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Mark Lajal 60¢ $243 2h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Mark Lajal 59¢ $7 2h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Mark Lajal 59¢ $5 2h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Mark Lajal 60¢ $2,429 2h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Mark Lajal 59¢ $1 2h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Mark Lajal 59¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 -18.6% -26.3% 43% 43% -37.9%
≤30d 146 -6.8% -15.7% 49% 49% -33.2%
≤90d 146 -6.8% -15.7% 49% 49% -33.2%
all 146 -6.8% -15.7% 49% 49% -33.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover244.9 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.7% 49% -33.2%
10% -23.8% 49% -39.6%
15% ← realistic here -31.1% 48% -45.4%
20% -37.9% 47% -50.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $43,825.38 · official $43,825.38 (match) · 3500 history records