trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 23 | -3.3% | -12.5% | 91% | 4% | -7.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.5% | 4% | -7.7% |
| 10% | -20.9% | 4% | -16.5% |
| 15% | -28.5% | 4% | -24.6% |
| 20% | -35.5% | 0% | -32.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | $259 | $259 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15? | Jun 24 | $259 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | May 14 | $259 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Mar | Apr 12 | $51 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Apr 12 | $358 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Apr 12 | $108 | $0 | +0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6PM ET | Mar 25 | $515 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 13? | Mar 25 | $257 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on February 27? | Mar 13 | $256 | $0 | +0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | Feb 27 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Janua | Feb 27 | $95 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January? | Feb 27 | $161 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 12-18? | Jan 30 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 January 12-18? | Jan 30 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026 | Jan 30 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Jan 30 | $148 | +$2 | +1% |
| Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 17 | $6 | −$4 | -67% |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? | Jan 17 | $20 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App | Jan 17 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16? | Jan 17 | $25 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 16 | $90 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Jan 16 | $6 | −$4 | -67% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,300 November 10-16? | Nov 26 | $74 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 202 | Nov 13 | $126 | +$60 | +48% |