Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:26:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8A
0x8a96…3087
sports · 1071 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$11,821 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11,611 · open −$210
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$11,611
Unrealized−$210
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses479 / 590
Whale WR (big bets)51%
Est. fees paid−$1,034
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1069 / 1071
History coverage287d
Avg bet$196
Trades / day8.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 2 History 1069 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$31
7 days−$632
14 days+$988
30 days−$602
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Team Heretics 41¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 45¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner JD Gaming 29¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner Team Yandex 81¢ 0¢ $210 $0 −$210 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Anyones Legend 70¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Tundra Esports 20¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Liquid 63¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Birmingham: Zhizhen Zhang vs Otto Virtanen Zhizhen Zhang 36¢ 0¢ $391 $0 −$391 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Team Liquid 46¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner LGD Gaming 37¢ 0¢ $207 $0 −$207 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner paiN 51¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner ThunderTalk Gaming 56¢ 0¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 40¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Team Liquid 62¢ 0¢ $1,120 $0 −$1,120 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage GLYPH 16¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 73¢ 0¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 56¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner JD Gaming 54¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner Top Esports 42¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Nova Esports (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs TEC Esports 25¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Xtreme Gaming 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic Belinda Bencic 31¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner JD Gaming 43¢ 0¢ $144 $0 −$144 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner LGD Gaming 25¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $97 +$48 +50%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $100 −$4 -4%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $102 −$4 -4%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $115 +$87 +76%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $61 +$54 +89%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $92 +$8 +9%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $54 −$2 -3%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $77 −$23 -30%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $102 −$55 -54%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $101 −$56 -55%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$14 +203%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $103 +$65 +63%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $60 −$33 -55%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $6 +$21 +365%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $19 −$14 -71%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $40 −$21 -52%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $64 +$78 +121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $98 −$34 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $104 −$45 -43%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $101 +$40 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $62 −$60 -96%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $107 −$105 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $116 +$56 +48%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $54 +$46 +86%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $101 +$50 +50%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $65 +$53 +82%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $18 +$3 +16%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $52 +$13 +26%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $59 −$7 -13%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $44 −$43 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $37 −$36 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Zhang vs Brooksby Jun 09 $85 −$55 -64%
Libema Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 09 $14 −$2 -13%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $15 −$1 -8%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 09 $11 −$1 -8%
Stuttgart Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Marcos Giron Jun 09 $29 −$15 -50%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $23 −$12 -51%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $8 +$15 +197%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $108 −$105 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 08 $99 +$52 +52%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $75 −$19 -25%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $207 −$207 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $74 +$133 +180%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $126 −$53 -42%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $38 +$112 +292%
Centurion 2: Philip Henning vs Alexander Donski Jun 07 $15 +$1 +5%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $110 −$96 -87%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $100 +$62 +62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% −$8,296
other 4% −$2,298
crypto 2% −$1,226
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Heretics 41¢ $112 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 45¢ $102 1h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL Paper Rex 100¢ $145 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 30¢ $69 2h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Paper Rex 66¢ $97 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 80¢ $97 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 41¢ $98 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Falcons 65¢ $98 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 82¢ $100 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 66¢ $102 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $202 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 56¢ $115 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 100¢ $115 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 52¢ $61 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $61 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 65¢ $40 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 44¢ $40 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 56¢ $52 5h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 53¢ $52 5h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 53¢ $54 6h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 34¢ $54 6h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 47¢ $77 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 19¢ $46 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 40¢ $102 7h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL FURIA 30¢ $45 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 99¢ $21 7h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 66¢ $101 7h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 99¢ $168 7h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 60¢ $103 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 32¢ $7 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 +5.0% -5.0% 44% 40% -20.6%
≤30d 262 -5.4% -14.5% 45% 39% -10.6%
≤90d 691 -14.3% -22.5% 41% 36% -31.8%
all 1069 -4.7% -13.8% 45% 41% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.8% 41% -14.5%
10% -22.0% 37% -22.7%
15% -29.5% 32% -30.1%
20% -36.5% 27% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.25 · official $0.25 (match) · 2791 history records