Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:18:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8A
0x8ab2…00aa
sports · 52 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$247 +21%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$249 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$255
Realized+$249
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses26 / 10
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions16
Markets (closed)36 / 52
History coverage3d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day73.5
Drawdown75%
Kalshi-fit69%
Chart Positions 16 History 36 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$197
7 days+$249
14 days+$249
30 days+$249
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Scotland 37¢ 36¢ $90 $89 −$1 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $40 $40 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Under 30¢ 30¢ $35 $34 −$1 (-2%)
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Knicks 50¢ 50¢ $29 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series? No 97¢ 97¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will France win on 2026-06-22? Yes 87¢ 88¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 56¢ 56¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 98¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-15%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? No 96¢ 96¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-0%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Over 77¢ 78¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+2%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $66 +$75 +114%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $56 +$80 +144%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $55 $0 +1%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $177 −$177 -100%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 12 $56 −$55 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $11 +$3 +25%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $106 +$61 +57%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $3 +$1 +18%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $44 +$188 +424%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 −$3 -33%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $73 +$36 +50%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $4 $0 +11%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $59 +$15 +26%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $15 +$14 +93%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 12 $20 $0 -1%
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $5 $0 -2%
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 12 $4 $0 -0%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $15 +$8 +57%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $21 +$15 +69%
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) Jun 11 $5 +$5 +101%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 209.5 Jun 11 $5 +$2 +48%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $10 +$10 +103%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $5 +$1 +16%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $5 +$11 +216%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $5 +$2 +31%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $5 +$5 +93%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $5 +$4 +83%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $5 +$6 +114%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +66%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 64% +$163
other 34% +$83
politics 2% $0
economics 0% $0
crypto 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $5 8m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 30¢ $5 22m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 30¢ $5 23m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 30¢ $5 23m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 30¢ $5 23m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 30¢ $5 23m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 30¢ $5 24m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 30¢ $5 24m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 42m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 43m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 43m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 43m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 43m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 44m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 44m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $5 44m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 37¢ $5 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 37¢ $5 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 37¢ $5 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 37¢ $5 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 37¢ $5 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 37¢ $5 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 37¢ $5 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 37¢ $5 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 37¢ $5 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 37¢ $5 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 37¢ $5 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 37¢ $5 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 37¢ $5 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 37¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+25.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +38.6% +25.4% 72% 67% +14.9%
≤30d 36 +38.6% +25.4% 72% 67% +14.9%
≤90d 36 +38.6% +25.4% 72% 67% +14.9%
all 36 +38.6% +25.4% 72% 67% +14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover73.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +25.4% 67% +14.9%
10% ← realistic here +13.4% 58% +3.9%
15% +2.4% 47% -6.2%
20% -7.6% 42% -15.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $255.01 · official $255.01 (match) · 278 history records