trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -9.1% | -17.7% | 67% | 67% | +2.5% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -9.1% | -17.7% | 67% | 67% | +2.5% |
| ≤90d | 3 | -9.1% | -17.7% | 67% | 67% | +2.5% |
| all | 22 | -25.0% | -32.1% | 59% | 36% | -22.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -32.1% | 36% | -22.9% |
| 10% | -38.6% | 23% | -30.3% |
| 15% | -44.5% | 5% | -37.0% |
| 20% | -50.0% | 0% | -43.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Panama vs. England end in a draw? | No | 90¢ | 90¢ | $952 | $946 | −$5 (-1%) |
| Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? | No | 70¢ | 70¢ | $200 | $201 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw? | Jun 27 | $1,003 | +$120 | +12% |
| Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 27 | $101 | −$63 | -62% |
| Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw? | Jun 27 | $907 | +$209 | +23% |
| Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-05? | Jan 05 | $152 | −$152 | -100% |
| Will Crystal Palace vs. Chelsea end in a draw? | Jan 05 | $980 | −$980 | -100% |
| Will Brighton vs. Arsenal end in a draw? | Jan 05 | $1,134 | −$836 | -74% |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | Jan 03 | $976 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will Wolves vs. Manchester United end in a draw? | Dec 26 | $751 | +$224 | +30% |
| Will Nottingham Forest vs. Tottenham end in a draw? | Dec 26 | $613 | +$138 | +22% |
| Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-01? | Dec 03 | $612 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season? | Nov 28 | $599 | +$14 | +2% |
| Will Netherlands beat Hungary? | Nov 17 | $437 | +$162 | +37% |
| Will Brentford win on 2024-11-09? | Nov 09 | $393 | +$44 | +11% |
| Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8? | Nov 09 | $366 | +$28 | +8% |
| Will RB Salzburg beat Feyenoord? | Nov 07 | $357 | +$8 | +2% |
| Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-03? | Nov 04 | $152 | −$152 | -100% |
| Will Chelsea win on 2024-11-03? | Nov 04 | $164 | −$164 | -100% |
| Will Man City win on 2024-11-02? | Nov 04 | $256 | −$256 | -100% |
| Will Man Utd vs. Chelsea end in a draw? | Nov 04 | $307 | +$50 | +16% |
| Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-02? | Nov 02 | $152 | −$152 | -100% |
| Will Newcastle win on 2024-11-02? | Nov 02 | $359 | +$112 | +31% |
| Ethereum above $2,600 on November 1? | Nov 01 | $889 | −$79 | -9% |