Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:37:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8A
0x8ac7…bcae
crypto · 622 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$93 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$93 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$93
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses318 / 304
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)622 / 622
Avg bet$5
Trades / day126.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 622 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$58
7 days−$93
14 days−$93
30 days−$93
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$5 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$9 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$5 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$5 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$7 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$5 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$8 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$10 +87%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$5 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$7 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$8 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$5 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$5 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$7 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$93
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $9 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $7 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $12 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $7 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $8 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $7 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $6 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $11 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $7 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $8 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $7 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 622 -5.9% -14.9% 51% 48% -12.1%
≤30d 622 -5.9% -14.9% 51% 48% -12.1%
≤90d 622 -5.9% -14.9% 51% 48% -12.1%
all 622 -5.9% -14.9% 51% 48% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover126.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 48% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 46% -20.5%
15% -30.5% 42% -28.2%
20% -37.3% 40% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1490 history records