Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8A
0x8ac7…2b98
crypto · 723 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$258 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$258 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$258
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses463 / 260
Open positions0
Markets (closed)723 / 723
History coverage61d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day16.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 723 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$95
14 days−$147
30 days−$220
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$258
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 491 -1.4% -10.8% 69% 67% -12.3%
≤30d 655 -5.0% -14.1% 67% 63% -14.7%
≤90d 723 -6.1% -15.1% 64% 60% -15.2%
all 723 -6.1% -15.1% 64% 60% -15.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.1% 60% -15.2%
10% -23.2% 57% -23.3%
15% -30.6% 31% -30.7%
20% -37.4% 12% -37.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1551 history records