Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:03:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8A
0x8acc…ae63
other · 4 markets active 5h ago
6.0score
+$7 +44%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized+$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses2 / 0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)2 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day6.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 2 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$7
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 +$5 +167%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $4 5h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $4 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $8 9h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 13h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $5 24h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 36¢ $3 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+84.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +103.7% +84.3% 100% 100% +70.0%
≤30d 2 +103.7% +84.3% 100% 100% +70.0%
≤90d 2 +103.7% +84.3% 100% 100% +70.0%
all 2 +103.7% +84.3% 100% 100% +70.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +84.3% 100% +70.0%
10% +66.7% 100% +53.7%
15% +50.6% 100% +38.9%
20% +35.8% 50% +25.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.64 · official $7.64 (match) · 6 history records