Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T00:16:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
8A 0x8aec…53e6 crypto 125 markets active 6d ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d only
✗ bot/MM pace (3378 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$3,011 (-41%) realized −$3,011 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -56% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -66% what you keep after slip
Net edge-66%after slip
Net WR16%break-even
Win rate20%53W / 207L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$59per market
Trades / day3378.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$471
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (3378 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-60.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 260 -55.9% -60.1% 20% 16% -39.7%
≤30d 260 -55.9% -60.1% 20% 16% -39.7%
≤90d 260 -55.9% -60.1% 20% 16% -39.7%
all 260 -55.9% -60.1% 20% 16% -39.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3378.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -60.1% 16% -39.7%
10% ← realistic here -63.9% 9% -45.5%
15% -67.4% 5% -50.8%
20% -70.6% 3% -55.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 20% · top 2 31% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -33% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
21% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -56% · $-wt -33% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -12% → late -100% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
27.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$16 vs −$21 · ×0.78 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.2 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,011
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses53 / 207
Open positions0
Markets (closed)260 / 125
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$59
Trades / day3378.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 260 Trades
no open positions (140 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 18 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 18 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 18 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 18 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 18 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 18 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 18 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 18 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 18 $93 −$93 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 18 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 18 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 18 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 18 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 18 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 18 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 18 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 18 $137 −$137 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 18 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 18 $108 −$108 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 18 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 18 $12 −$12 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records