trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 33% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 15% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 23 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 13% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $84 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Jun 19 | $84 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Jun 04 | $84 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 28 | $84 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 19 | $84 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May? | May 15 | $84 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 12 | $85 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026? | May 08 | $85 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 18 | $86 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 12 | $86 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 10 | $173 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 07 | $86 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Apr 05 | $87 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 30 | $87 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 18 | $88 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 14 | $88 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 11 | $88 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 06 | $88 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 05 | $89 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 04 | $89 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027? | Feb 24 | $89 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Feb 23 | $89 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Feb 11 | $89 | $0 | -0% |