trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $1,500 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? | Jun 14 | $1,246 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? | Jun 14 | $1,094 | −$19 | -2% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $3,300 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Jun 14 | $750 | $0 | +0% |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Jun 14 | $65 | +$10 | +15% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Jun 14 | $2,839 | −$5 | -0% |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 14 | $1,027 | $0 | +0% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Jun 14 | $450 | +$33 | +7% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $450 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 mee | Jun 14 | $971 | +$101 | +10% |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 14 | $250 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | Jun 14 | $1,200 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $300 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 13 | $10,234 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 13 | $10,503 | −$9 | -0% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 13 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Jun 13 | $10 | −$2 | -20% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | Jun 13 | $33 | +$2 | +6% |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 13 | $627 | +$73 | +12% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 13 | $500 | −$3 | -1% |
| Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | Jun 11 | $1,821 | +$97 | +5% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? | Jun 11 | $240 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | Jun 11 | $200 | +$44 | +22% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? | Jun 11 | $397 | +$46 | +12% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | Jun 11 | $559 | +$46 | +8% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 26 | +2.9% | -6.9% | 62% | 15% | -8.6% |
| ≤30d | 26 | +2.9% | -6.9% | 62% | 15% | -8.6% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +2.9% | -6.9% | 62% | 15% | -8.6% |
| all | 26 | +2.9% | -6.9% | 62% | 15% | -8.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -6.9% | 15% | -8.6% |
| 10% | -15.8% | 0% | -17.4% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -24.0% | 0% | -25.3% |
| 20% | -31.4% | 0% | -32.7% |