Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:06:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8B
0x8b21…0983
crypto · 241 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$10 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$59 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$59
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)19%
Wins / losses46 / 195
Open positions0
Markets (closed)241 / 241
History coverage21d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day26.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 241 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$11
14 days−$25
30 days−$59
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -9%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -8%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -6%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -8%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -6%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -10%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -17%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -8%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -6%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -9%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -12%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -9%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -8%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -8%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -12%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -10%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -24%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -9%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -7%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -17%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -14%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 04 $6 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 04 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 03 $2 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 03 $4 −$1 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$1 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 03 $3 $0 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 03 $4 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 03 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 03 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 03 $6 −$1 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 03 $3 $0 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 03 $3 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 03 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 03 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 03 $3 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 03 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 03 $4 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$59
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 68¢ $4 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $3 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $3 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $3 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $3 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 21h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $3 22h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 22h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $3 22h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 22h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $2 22h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 22h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $4 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $3 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $3 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $3 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $3 24h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 -14.5% -22.6% 16% 6% -20.0%
≤30d 241 -8.0% -16.8% 19% 6% -16.3%
≤90d 241 -8.0% -16.8% 19% 6% -16.3%
all 241 -8.0% -16.8% 19% 6% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.8% 6% -16.3%
10% ← realistic here -24.7% 2% -24.3%
15% -32.0% 2% -31.6%
20% -38.7% 1% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 573 history records