Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:51:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8B
0x8b22…377e
crypto · 348 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$14 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$56 · open −$72
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$122
Realized−$56
Unrealized−$72
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses264 / 81
Est. fees paid−$49
Open positions3
Markets (closed)345 / 348
History coverage107d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day15.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 345 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$286
7 days−$21
14 days−$21
30 days−$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winner K27 79¢ 100¢ $55 $70 +$15 (+27%)
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner illwill 75¢ 100¢ $34 $45 +$11 (+33%)
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner K27 60¢ 100¢ $4 $7 +$3 (+67%)
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Virtus.pro 64¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner Walczaki 64¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winner STATE 74¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $89 −$55 -62%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $88 −$19 -21%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $46 −$40 -87%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $39 +$13 +35%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $60 +$23 +38%
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs STATE - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $12 −$1 -10%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $76 −$25 -33%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $17 +$7 +41%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $49 +$14 +28%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $26 +$11 +45%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $16 −$1 -9%
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs STATE - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $48 +$16 +33%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $87 −$37 -42%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $51 +$15 +29%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $59 −$46 -79%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $57 −$19 -34%
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs Washed - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $8 +$4 +42%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $50 +$3 +7%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $41 +$19 +47%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $77 +$4 +5%
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $32 +$3 +9%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $9 −$3 -33%
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $8 −$8 -99%
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $19 +$3 +15%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $84 −$28 -33%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $41 +$16 +38%
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $24 −$19 -79%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $43 −$36 -84%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $99 −$60 -60%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $25 +$3 +11%
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $27 +$10 +35%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $63 +$19 +29%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $81 −$49 -60%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $33 +$12 +35%
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $18 +$2 +9%
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $19 −$3 -16%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$3 +60%
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs XI Esport - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $59 +$21 +35%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $39 −$32 -82%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $91 −$37 -41%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $71 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $48 +$17 +36%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $9 +$1 +9%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $88 +$8 +9%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $72 +$24 +34%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $69 −$50 -72%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $99 −$47 -47%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $54 +$21 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 86% −$96
crypto 14% −$33
weather 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY illwill 77¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY illwill 63¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY illwill 80¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY illwill 85¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY illwill 87¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY illwill 86¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY illwill 70¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY illwill 65¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner BUY K27 60¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner BUY Walczaki 59¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner BUY Walczaki 61¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner BUY Walczaki 65¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner BUY Walczaki 67¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner BUY Walczaki 63¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner BUY Walczaki 69¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner BUY Walczaki 69¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 67¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 64¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 65¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 71¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 71¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 65¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 65¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 65¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 62¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 62¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 87¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 79¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 74¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 60¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 136 +4.2% -5.8% 67% 54% -9.8%
≤30d 136 +4.2% -5.8% 67% 54% -9.8%
≤90d 136 +4.2% -5.8% 67% 54% -9.8%
all 345 -0.3% -9.8% 77% 41% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.8% 41% -10.2%
10% -18.4% 30% -18.8%
15% -26.3% 17% -26.7%
20% -33.5% 7% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $122.01 · official $122.01 (match) · 2017 history records