Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T12:46:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
8B 0x8b23…0448 crypto 1740 markets active 0h ago coverage 5d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 5d only
✗ bot/MM pace (342 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$545 (+6%) realized +$545 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate88%1596W / 216L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day342.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$307now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (342 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1812 -2.9% -12.1% 88% 22% -13.0%
≤30d 1812 -2.9% -12.1% 88% 22% -13.0%
≤90d 1812 -2.9% -12.1% 88% 22% -13.0%
all 1812 -2.9% -12.1% 88% 22% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover342.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 22% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 7% -21.4%
15% -28.2% 2% -29.0%
20% -35.3% 0% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
72% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -8% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$5 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.65 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$307
Realized+$545
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses1596 / 216
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1812 / 1740
History coverage5d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day342.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 1812 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 165 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 33m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $306.77 · official $306.77 (match) · 3500 history records