Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:28:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8B
0x8b24…aee8
crypto · 1049 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$226 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$226 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$226
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses391 / 658
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1049 / 1049
History coverage20d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day129.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 1049 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$43
7 days−$43
14 days−$58
30 days−$226
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 71¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 78¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+28%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 81¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +17%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +17%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -31%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$4 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 04 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 03 $8 −$3 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 03 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 03 $6 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 03 $1 +$1 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 03 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 03 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 03 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 03 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 03 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 03 $1 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 03 $3 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 03 $2 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 03 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 03 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 03 $6 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 02 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$204
other 4% −$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 81¢ $4 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $5 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-25.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 +6.2% -3.9% 36% 32% -44.0%
≤30d 1049 -17.6% -25.4% 37% 34% -18.3%
≤90d 1049 -17.6% -25.4% 37% 34% -18.3%
all 1049 -17.6% -25.4% 37% 34% -18.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover129.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.4% 34% -18.3%
10% ← realistic here -32.6% 33% -26.1%
15% -39.1% 31% -33.2%
20% -45.1% 23% -39.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.14 · official $0.00 · 2746 history records