trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +82.2% | +64.9% | 100% | 100% | +62.2% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +37.2% | +24.1% | 78% | 78% | +25.7% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +32.9% | +20.2% | 75% | 75% | +20.8% |
| all | 42 | -10.8% | -19.3% | 55% | 43% | -16.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.3% | 43% | -16.7% |
| 10% | -27.0% | 29% | -24.7% |
| 15% | -34.0% | 26% | -32.0% |
| 20% | -40.5% | 19% | -38.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 62¢ | 57¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-7%) |
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 67¢ | 76¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+13%) |
| Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 63¢ | 47¢ | $2 | $1 | −$1 (-25%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $2 | +$3 | +124% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $2 | +$1 | +46% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $4 | +$2 | +55% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $3 | +$3 | +105% |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Jun 05 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5 | Jun 05 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 | May 30 | $3 | +$1 | +34% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 25 | $5 | +$1 | +20% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? | May 25 | $2 | +$3 | +152% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15? | Apr 09 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Spread: Pelicans (-8.5) | Apr 09 | $1 | +$1 | +52% |
| Spread: Bulls (-7.5) | Apr 09 | $2 | +$2 | +108% |
| Warriors vs. Wizards | Mar 17 | $5 | +$1 | +12% |
| Spread: Rockets (-1.5) | Mar 17 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | Mar 16 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16? | Mar 16 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Sharks vs. Avalanche | Mar 16 | $1 | $0 | +19% |
| Blues vs. Stars | Mar 16 | $1 | $0 | +45% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Feb 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | Feb 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Raptors | Feb 05 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal end in a draw? | Feb 05 | $2 | +$8 | +400% |
| Will Ralph Lauren (RL) beat quarterly earnings? | Nov 07 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Will US Foods Holding (USFD) beat quarterly earnings? | Nov 07 | $1 | $0 | +11% |
| Will ConocoPhillips (COP) beat quarterly earnings? | Nov 07 | $1 | $0 | +12% |
| Will Tripadvisor (TRIP) beat quarterly earnings? | Nov 07 | $1 | $0 | +19% |
| Will Celsius Holdings (CELH) beat quarterly earnings? | Nov 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Nets vs. Pacers | Nov 06 | $1 | +$1 | +132% |
| Spurs vs. Lakers | Nov 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Blue Jackets vs. Flames | Nov 06 | $1 | $0 | +44% |
| Sharks vs. Kraken | Nov 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08? | Nov 06 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-08? | Nov 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-08? | Nov 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Nov 06 | $16 | +$1 | +5% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | Oct 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET | Oct 06 | $3 | −$2 | -66% |
| Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31? | Oct 06 | $7 | $0 | +3% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | Oct 06 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | Oct 01 | $2 | $0 | +10% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | Oct 01 | $2 | $0 | +1% |