Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:49:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8B
0x8b67…02be
other · 47 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$4 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses13 / 34
Open positions0
Markets (closed)47 / 47
History coverage296d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown16%
Kalshi-fit47%
Chart Positions 0 History 47 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $57 +$2 +4%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 12 $24 +$1 +3%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Jun 10 $28 $0 +0%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Jun 09 $29 −$1 -2%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Dec 24 $29 $0 +0%
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03? Dec 12 $20 +$1 +6%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Nov 27 $38 $0 +1%
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03? Nov 26 $5 $0 +0%
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03? Nov 26 $5 $0 +0%
Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03? Nov 25 $5 $0 +0%
Will Fulham win on 2025-12-02? Nov 25 $10 $0 +0%
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02? Nov 24 $10 $0 +0%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Nov 24 $5 $0 +0%
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29? Nov 24 $19 $0 +0%
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? Nov 24 $10 $0 +0%
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30? Nov 23 $20 $0 +0%
Will Getafe win on 2025-11-28? Nov 23 $5 $0 +0%
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23? Nov 22 $10 $0 -0%
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? Nov 22 $4 $0 +0%
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? Nov 22 $28 $0 +0%
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? Nov 22 $10 $0 +0%
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29? Nov 21 $24 $0 +0%
Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-24? Nov 21 $14 $0 -0%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Nov 21 $5 $0 +0%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Nov 20 $9 $0 +0%
Will Brighton win on 2025-11-22? Nov 20 $9 $0 +0%
Will Valencia win on 2025-11-21? Nov 19 $5 $0 +0%
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22? Nov 19 $5 $0 +0%
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-22? Nov 18 $14 $0 +0%
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-22? Nov 18 $9 $0 +0%
Will Wolves win on 2025-11-22? Nov 15 $5 $0 +0%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem Nov 15 $4 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025 Nov 01 $4 +$1 +16%
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election? Oct 23 $1 $0 -6%
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Sep 08 $4 $0 -8%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? Sep 02 $5 $0 +0%
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? Aug 26 $4 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? Aug 25 $4 $0 +1%
Will Holger Rune win the 2025 US Open? Aug 23 $39 $0 +0%
Will Frances Black win the Irish Presidential Election? Aug 23 $39 $0 +0%
Will Nick Delehanty win the Irish Presidential Election? Aug 22 $68 $0 +0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Aug 22 $26 $0 +0%
Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025? Aug 22 $26 $0 +0%
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? Aug 21 $26 $0 +0%
Will Trump meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in August? Aug 21 $26 $0 +0%
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Aug 20 $5 $0 +0%
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in August? Aug 20 $41 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 39% +$2
politics 36% $0
world 18% +$2
sports 6% $0
tech 1% $0
culture 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 79¢ $4 1h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 79¢ $26 1h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 75¢ $28 2h
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL Yes 36¢ $15 7h
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL Yes 36¢ $10 7h
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY Yes 35¢ $3 10h
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY Yes 35¢ $21 10h
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? SELL No 80¢ $28 2d
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? BUY No 80¢ $12 2d
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? BUY No 80¢ $16 2d
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? SELL No 87¢ $29 3d
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? BUY No 89¢ $29 3d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 54¢ $21 3d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 54¢ $8 3d
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 53¢ $29 3d
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $4 170d
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 98¢ $38 197d
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03? BUY No 80¢ $5 198d
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03? SELL No 77¢ $5 198d
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03? BUY No 77¢ $5 199d
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03? SELL Yes 73¢ $5 199d
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-03? BUY Yes 73¢ $5 199d
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03? SELL No 80¢ $5 199d
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03? BUY No 80¢ $5 199d
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03? SELL No 80¢ $5 199d
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03? BUY No 80¢ $5 199d
Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03? SELL Yes 30¢ $4 199d
Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03? SELL Yes 30¢ $1 199d
Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03? BUY Yes 30¢ $5 199d
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03? SELL Yes 20¢ $5 199d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +1.1% -8.6% 50% 0% -8.2%
≤30d 4 +1.1% -8.6% 50% 0% -8.2%
≤90d 4 +1.1% -8.6% 50% 0% -8.2%
all 47 +0.3% -9.2% 28% 2% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.2% 2% -9.0%
10% -17.9% 0% -17.7%
15% -25.8% 0% -25.7%
20% -33.1% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 276 history records