Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:47:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8B
0x8b6b…5c93
crypto · 289 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$37 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$37 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$37
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses189 / 100
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)289 / 289
Avg bet$3
Trades / day8.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 289 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$5
14 days−$5
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +10%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -71%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +17%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +20%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 8AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +17%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 5PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$36
other 1% $0
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $1 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 100¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $2 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 -2.3% -11.6% 75% 28% -11.6%
≤30d 119 -1.9% -11.3% 72% 27% -11.9%
≤90d 289 -5.3% -14.3% 65% 34% -13.8%
all 289 -5.3% -14.3% 65% 34% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.3% 34% -13.8%
10% -22.5% 13% -22.1%
15% -30.0% 4% -29.6%
20% -36.9% 3% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 688 history records