Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:34:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
8B 0x8b7a…c20e crypto 487 markets active 0h ago coverage 10d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (56 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$4 (+0%) realized +$4 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate84%408W / 79L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day56.3pace
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days+$4
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 96% −$13
other 4% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (56 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-9.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 404 -0.5% -10.0% 86% 44% -9.2%
≤30d 487 +0.5% -9.1% 84% 47% -10.0%
≤90d 487 +0.5% -9.1% 84% 47% -10.0%
all 487 +0.5% -9.1% 84% 47% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover56.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.1% 47% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 17% -18.6%
15% -25.7% 9% -26.5%
20% -33.0% 5% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
41% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.19 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses408 / 79
Open positions0
Markets (closed)487 / 487
History coverage10d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day56.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 487 Trades
no open positions (65 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +12%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$1 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +22%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +76%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +5%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +17%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +7%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $0 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 5h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 969 history records