Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:59:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8B
0x8b7b…60fd
crypto · 82 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$11 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)89%
Wins / losses73 / 9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)82 / 82
History coverage2d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day61.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 82 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$11
14 days−$11
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 82 +1.1% -8.5% 89% 24% -12.3%
≤30d 82 +1.1% -8.5% 89% 24% -12.3%
≤90d 82 +1.1% -8.5% 89% 24% -12.3%
all 82 +1.1% -8.5% 89% 24% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover61.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.5% 24% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.2% 2% -20.6%
15% -25.2% 2% -28.3%
20% -32.6% 2% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 176 history records