Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:45:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8B
0x8b8f…01bc
crypto · 509 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$141 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$141 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$141
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses283 / 224
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)507 / 509
History coverage116d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day7.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 0 History 507 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days+$19
14 days−$24
30 days−$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-24? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24? Yes 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $9 $0 -6%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 $0 -4%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$7 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +94%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $6 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 10 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $9 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $26 −$26 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET May 30 $9 −$4 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET May 30 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET May 30 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET May 30 $10 −$4 -37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% −$131
other 8% −$4
sports 1% −$11
world 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 31¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 58¢ $2 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 62¢ $2 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 57¢ $6 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $7 7h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 8h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-1 BUY 32¢ $2 17h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 47¢ $1 17h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 52¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $7 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 17h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $1 18h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $29 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $24 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Down 82¢ $35 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $28 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $20 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $23 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $18 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 +1.3% -8.3% 69% 56% -3.7%
≤30d 89 -7.3% -16.1% 58% 48% -15.7%
≤90d 472 -9.2% -17.9% 57% 48% -13.6%
all 507 -8.0% -16.7% 56% 47% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.7% 47% -13.3%
10% -24.7% 40% -21.6%
15% -32.0% 32% -29.1%
20% -38.6% 23% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $2.00 · 1090 history records