trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $458 | +$872 | +190% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 26 | $529 | −$520 | -98% |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | May 26 | $916 | −$893 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | May 16 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 14 | $104 | −$64 | -62% |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 04 | $695 | −$675 | -97% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 04 | $414 | −$405 | -98% |
| NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning | May 04 | $369 | +$516 | +140% |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Raptors vs. Cavaliers | May 04 | $635 | −$624 | -98% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | May 03 | $556 | −$544 | -98% |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics | May 03 | $623 | +$940 | +151% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | -27.4% | -34.3% | 25% | 25% | -36.5% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -25.6% | -32.7% | 27% | 27% | -34.1% |
| all | 11 | -25.6% | -32.7% | 27% | 27% | -34.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -32.7% | 27% | -34.1% |
| 10% | -39.1% | 27% | -40.4% |
| 15% | -45.0% | 27% | -46.2% |
| 20% | -50.4% | 27% | -51.4% |