Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:51:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8B
0x8bb5…8620
sports · 1124 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$206 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$233 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$233
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses344 / 775
Est. fees paid−$25
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1119 / 1124
History coverage155d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day11.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 3 History 1119 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$23
7 days+$25
14 days+$25
30 days−$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 Over 50¢ 48¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-5%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score Yes 42¢ 42¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 24¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-9%)
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-02? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-09? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Yokohama F·Marinos end in a draw? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will CA Osasuna vs. Girona FC end in a draw? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roasso Kumamoto vs. Reilac Shiga: Both Teams to Score Yes 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Juventus FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score Yes 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-05-16? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-02-20? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-24? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will FathUnionSport win on 2026-05-06? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5 Over 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-06? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Kawasaki Frontale vs. Kashima Antlers end in a draw? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Yes 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $5 +$10 +205%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $3 +$3 +109%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $2 +$3 +146%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $5 +$7 +132%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $2 +$3 +188%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $3 +$3 +114%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 +$4 +99%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $2 +$2 +107%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 May 30 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $2 −$2 -98%
Hamarkameratene vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 2.5 May 25 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-24? May 25 $1 −$1 -98%
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $1 −$1 -98%
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score May 24 $1 −$1 -98%
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. SK Brann: Both Teams to Score May 24 $2 +$2 +112%
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Score May 24 $2 −$2 -100%
AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to Score May 24 $2 −$2 -98%
AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5 May 24 $2 −$1 -98%
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5 May 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 3.5 May 24 $1 −$1 -98%
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5 May 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to Score May 24 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $1 +$2 +199%
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 2.5 May 24 $1 $0 +1%
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: Both Teams to Score May 24 $2 +$2 +155%
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 1.5 May 24 $1 +$1 +143%
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. Kawasaki Frontale: Both Teams to Score May 24 $1 +$3 +274%
Gainare Tottori vs. Ōita Trinita: O/U 1.5 May 24 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Getafe CF vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Score May 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24? May 23 $1 −$1 -97%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24? May 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Kyōto Sanga FC vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: Both Teams to Score May 23 $2 −$2 -98%
Kyōto Sanga FC vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 2.5 May 23 $2 $0 -12%
V-Varen Nagasaki leading at halftime? May 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to Score May 23 $1 −$1 -98%
Kashima Antlers leading at halftime? May 23 $1 −$1 -100%
FC Tōkyō leading at halftime? May 23 $1 −$1 -98%
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Tōkyō: O/U 2.5 May 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Kashima Antlers vs. FC Tōkyō: Both Teams to Score May 23 $4 −$4 -98%
AC Nagano Parceiro vs. Ventforet Kōfu: Both Teams to Score May 23 $1 −$1 -100%
AC Nagano Parceiro vs. Ventforet Kōfu: O/U 1.5 May 23 $2 −$2 -98%
Albirex Niigata vs. Ehime FC: O/U 2.5 May 23 $1 +$4 +413%
Albirex Niigata vs. Ehime FC: Both Teams to Score May 23 $3 +$4 +128%
Fujieda MYFC vs. Iwaki FC: O/U 1.5 May 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 54% −$103
other 33% −$85
crypto 14% −$49
world 0% +$5
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $2 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 30¢ $2 1h
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 42¢ $2 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 8¢ $1 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $15 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 31¢ $3 9h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $3 35h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 34¢ $2 35h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 49¢ $5 35h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 52¢ $3 35h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $3 35h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 40¢ $2 35h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 37¢ $2 41h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 34¢ $2 41h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $3 41h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $3 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 24¢ $1 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 39¢ $2 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 99¢ $8 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 49¢ $4 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $4 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $2 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $2 3d
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 24¢ $1 15d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? BUY Yes 21¢ $2 15d
Hamarkameratene vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 38¢ $2 20d
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-24? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 20d
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 21d
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 21d
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 34¢ $1 21d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-20.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +58.4% +43.3% 67% 67% +51.1%
≤30d 168 -16.6% -24.6% 29% 29% -20.2%
≤90d 960 -11.6% -20.0% 29% 29% -15.9%
all 1119 -12.6% -20.9% 31% 30% -18.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.9% 30% -18.6%
10% -28.5% 28% -26.4%
15% -35.4% 27% -33.5%
20% -41.7% 25% -40.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.73 · official $6.73 (match) · 1863 history records