Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T04:44:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
8B 0x8bb8…79fb crypto 1040 markets active 1h ago coverage 4d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 4d only
✗ bot/MM pace (601 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$741 (-10%) realized −$741 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR6%break-even
Win rate43%494W / 642L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day601.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$94
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (601 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-18.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1136 -10.2% -18.7% 43% 6% -16.2%
≤30d 1136 -10.2% -18.7% 43% 6% -16.2%
≤90d 1136 -10.2% -18.7% 43% 6% -16.2%
all 1136 -10.2% -18.7% 43% 6% -16.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover601.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.7% 6% -16.2%
10% ← realistic here -26.5% 4% -24.2%
15% -33.6% 3% -31.5%
20% -40.1% 3% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
86% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -17% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$3 · ×0.13 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.27 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$741
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses494 / 642
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1136 / 1040
History coverage4d ⚠
Avg bet$7
Trades / day601.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1136 Trades
no open positions (172 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 24 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 8AM ET Jun 24 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 24 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - March 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 24 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 24 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 9PM ET Jun 24 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1AM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 24 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $50 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $49 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $50 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $49 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $49 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $49 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records