Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:49:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8B
0x8bbc…1d9e
crypto · 1430 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,175 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,163 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$5,163
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses910 / 561
Whale WR (big bets)99%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1471 / 1430
History coverage29d
Avg bet$75
Trades / day86.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1471 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,799
7 days−$4,682
14 days−$3,955
30 days−$5,163
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 54¢ 22¢ $10 $4 −$6 (-60%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 53¢ 20¢ $10 $4 −$6 (-62%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 2? Yes 94¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 1? Yes 94¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 4? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 2? Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 1? Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 8? Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 1? Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 3? Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 14? Jun 13 $146 −$146 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 14? Jun 13 $71 −$71 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 5? Jun 13 $233 −$233 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on May 12? Jun 13 $298 −$298 -100%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on Ma Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7? Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 29? Jun 13 $154 −$154 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 7? Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on May 9? Jun 13 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 13? Jun 13 $261 −$261 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 8? Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 11? Jun 13 $147 −$147 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 10? Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on May 15? Jun 13 $59 −$59 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 15? Jun 13 $142 −$142 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 14? Jun 13 $75 −$75 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on May 6? Jun 13 $95 −$95 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4? Jun 13 $139 −$139 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on April 29? Jun 13 $70 −$70 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 12? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 3? Jun 13 $69 −$69 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 16? Jun 13 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 3? Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 15? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 89% −$212
crypto 11% −$169
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $11 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $11 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $10 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $11 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 3h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 12? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 17h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 12? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 17h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 12? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 17h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 12? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 17h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 12? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 17h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 12? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 17h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 12? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 17h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 12? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 17h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 18h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 18h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 18h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 18h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 18h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12? BUY No 2¢ $2 18h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 12? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 19h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12? BUY No 2¢ $0 19h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12? BUY No 2¢ $1 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 208 -37.1% -43.1% 34% 29% -74.4%
≤30d 1471 -5.2% -14.3% 62% 43% -13.7%
≤90d 1471 -5.2% -14.3% 62% 43% -13.7%
all 1471 -5.2% -14.3% 62% 43% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover86.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 43% -13.7%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 34% -22.0%
15% -30.0% 32% -29.5%
20% -36.8% 30% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.88 · official $14.25 · 3500 history records