Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:04:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8B
0x8be1…fc76
crypto · 129 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$36 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$35 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$35
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses88 / 40
Open positions1
Markets (closed)128 / 129
History coverage77d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day3.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 128 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 54¢ 28¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-48%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +51%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +24%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +32%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET May 25 $6 −$6 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET May 25 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET May 25 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET May 25 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET May 25 $11 +$2 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET May 25 $6 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET May 25 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET May 25 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET May 25 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET May 25 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET May 25 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET May 25 $2 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET May 25 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET May 25 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET May 06 $4 −$4 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET May 06 $5 −$5 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET May 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET May 06 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET May 06 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET May 06 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET May 06 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET May 06 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET May 06 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET May 06 $2 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Mar 31 $15 −$15 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Mar 31 $15 +$3 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Mar 31 $15 +$4 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Mar 31 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Mar 31 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Mar 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Mar 31 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Mar 31 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Mar 31 $2 −$1 -49%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $4 14m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $3 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 45h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +2.1% -7.6% 82% 65% -10.9%
≤30d 31 +3.7% -6.1% 87% 58% -8.3%
≤90d 128 -10.3% -18.9% 69% 49% -14.9%
all 128 -10.3% -18.9% 69% 49% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.9% 49% -14.9%
10% -26.6% 30% -23.0%
15% -33.7% 17% -30.5%
20% -40.2% 8% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.57 · official $3.00 · 265 history records